Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37a0aae269553f9740edfe3362d4675926914652ca90a164b3c719193cc00789
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 19,864$12,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,112.25 | 2,575 | 45.6%1,174 W · 1,401 L | +12.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 30c | 10,320$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.07 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…d497backed Over | 48c | 4,727$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 48c | 2,812$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 30c | 1,249$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.55 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 65c | 1,208$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.09 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 52c | 891.67$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 52c | 785.1$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.85 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…e75ebacked Over | 48c | 591.67$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 32c | 481.25$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 61c | 425.3$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 48c | 231.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 19c | 200.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Over | 49c | 184.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 47c | 177.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 46c | 160.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 49c | 150.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…5857backed Over | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 53c | 146$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 28c | 121.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 52c | 101$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 30c | 63.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 35c | 50.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 45.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 346 | 53.8%186 W · 160 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 45.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…973fbacked Under | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…6fd6backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 41.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…779dbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…8f46backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…2d9bbacked Over | 49c | 31.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 52c | 26.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…7556backed Over | 48c | 20.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.