Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cf7d26508c0e9adec3ce679ac0c61ac824084a21fa2cabc83820af75c592d49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.97 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 56c | 1,425$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 1,082$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.2 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 46c | 876.29$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.19 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 46c | 804.8$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.69 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 699.96$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.41 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 56c | 535.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 56c | 507.61$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.26 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…0579backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 50c | 217.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 56c | 185.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3b41backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 46c | 171.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 170.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 52c | 165$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Yes | 56c | 121.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Yes | 31c | 112.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…97c2backed Yes | 56c | 109.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 45c | 108.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…dc27backed Yes | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…92babacked Yes | 56c | 98.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Yes | 53c | 94.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 45c | 87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked No | 45c | 79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 55c | 69.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 46c | 59.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed No | 45c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 56c | 55.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked No | 46c | 43.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed No | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Yes | 55c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 49c | 39.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…f3f2backed Yes | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 54c | 36.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…d623backed Yes | 55c | 36.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Yes | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Yes | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Yes | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed No | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked No | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…eb14backed Yes | 56c | 18.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.