Europa Conference League · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b4a879208f7968833ca9b02a076547a0cd3f82a6b85ac9568deb216be6c978b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 4,778$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.97 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 3,779$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.07 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 10c | 2,471$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.2 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 12c | 2,006$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.29 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Under | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 40c | 425.31$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.67 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 52c | 418.77$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.89 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Under | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed Under | 78c | 146.22$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 63c | 134.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 41c | 97.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 58c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 27c | 92.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 57c | 88.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 59c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Over | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 59c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Over | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 41c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Over | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 42c | 24.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 59c | 18.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.