NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c147638d9c57bd03ef126cc4a71210b9384d337186ed187cba72c221a0e35b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Over | 61c | 51,590$31,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,265.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 39c | 26,609$10,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,144.06 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…f985backed Over | 57c | 11,750$6,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,697.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…72b0backed Under | 43c | 11,750$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,697.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 4,998$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.92 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 58c | 3,577$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.8 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 61c | 3,302$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.67 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 40c | 2,812$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.26 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 41c | 2,571$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.71 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 40c | 2,483$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.21 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 42c | 2,390$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.2 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 39c | 1,285$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.85 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Under | 40c | 1,200$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 40c | 1,000$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Over | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 39c | 718$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.98 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 40c | 448.38$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.03 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 434.82$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.35 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 41c | 374.47$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.94 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 39c | 327.2$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.59 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Over | 59c | 310.17$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 41c | 268.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 168.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.79 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Under | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 41c | 126$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 39c | 98.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Under | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 41c | 63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed Over | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 41c | 58.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Under | 41c | 54.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 40c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Under | 41c | 39.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 40c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 40c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 40c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…ba9cbacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Ducks vs. RangersDucks won
- Ducks vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.