TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Drexel Dragons (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Howard Bisonof Drexel Dragons, Howard Bison
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,433 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa9e6…025bbacked Howard Bison52c73,989$38,398 inWon+$35,591.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Drexel Dragons48c63,617$30,536 inLost-$30,536.27237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7178…0c07backed Howard Bison51c9,357$4,773 inWon+$4,583.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Drexel Dragons49c7,565$3,707 inLost-$3,706.635160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Drexel Dragons49c7,521$3,695 inLost-$3,694.6312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Drexel Dragons48c1,224$592 inLost-$592.461844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Drexel Dragons48c1,223$587 inLost-$587.045,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Drexel Dragons48c600$288 inLost-$28835243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Drexel Dragons51c472.96$239 inLost-$238.863,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Drexel Dragons49c336$166 inLost-$165.964,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Drexel Dragons48c282.46$137 inLost-$136.521,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Drexel Dragons48c250$120 inLost-$12049746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Drexel Dragons50c200$100 inLost-$1002429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-45.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Drexel Dragons48c103.9$50 inLost-$49.8710037%37 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Howard Bison47c93$44 inWon+$49.0211344.2%50 W · 63 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…aa68backed Drexel Dragons48c83.32$40 inLost-$39.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Drexel Dragons51c59$30 inLost-$30.091618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Drexel Dragons50c44.7$22 inLost-$22.3517650.6%89 W · 87 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.