TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Braves vs. Marlins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bravesof Braves, Marlins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$313,607
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$317,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,607 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Braves54c196,893$106,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,581.5738043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins46c89,251$41,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,055.641,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins46c60,000$27,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,60044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Marlins46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,20055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Marlins46c15,555$7,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,155.2860249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Braves60c12,215$7,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,831.741,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Marlins45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9734245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Marlins42c8,677$3,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,663.9454345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Marlins41c7,304$2,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,981.849,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins46c6,300$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8981,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Braves55c5,455$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.5513553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Marlins46c5,410$2,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.4222852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Braves55c5,127$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.8912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Marlins46c4,541$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.7626056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Braves48c4,107$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.7510041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Braves55c3,937$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.833845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves54c3,306$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.352,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves55c3,203$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.8663152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins44c3,044$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.4856451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Marlins42c2,588$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.5421747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Braves53c2,222$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.3398149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b8…b745backed Marlins46c1,900$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8742250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Braves54c1,900$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8742250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves55c1,803$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.461,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Braves53c1,726$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.0423455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Marlins46c1,512$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.611947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Marlins50c1,447$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.954048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Braves64c1,407$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.512,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Braves56c1,342$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.791,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf54…3386backed Marlins43c1,295$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.552458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Braves58c1,215$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.146,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00ac…cf0dbacked Marlins47c1,205$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.35850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a0…0065backed Braves53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.04944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Braves51c1,119$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.4216352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b68…72c7backed Braves53c1,118$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.46850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Marlins46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Marlins47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50031248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14fe…910cbacked Marlins47c1,045$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Marlins54c1,031$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.7125551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Marlins49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb06…0e51backed Marlins42c988.63$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.12862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42383248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Marlins47c839.85$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.7370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Marlins48c819$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.2216654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Marlins43c802.9$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3449759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Marlins47c638$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8657744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins47c638$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.861,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Braves50c625.52$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.766538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb8c…0a55backed Braves54c569.68$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.852755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Marlins50c508.65$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.118236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Braves54c504.67$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.158944.9%40 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Marlins51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Marlins45c499.95$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9830850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins47c483.62$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.351347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Marlins47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7d…0a62backed Braves54c375$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.55764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1257…0379backed Braves55c374.42$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.491338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd110…ed30backed Marlins46c374.37$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.21714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Braves54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3756351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Braves55c365$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2591749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins45c360.42$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.111,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Marlins46c350.19$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.931,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a2…37c7backed Braves55c315.88$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.811266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Marlins46c299.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1383,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Braves52c267.15$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Braves54c262.96$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9625954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves58c256.79$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.974,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Braves55c236.29$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.338159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbe…fce9backed Marlins47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005242.3%22 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Braves54c209.26$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Marlins46c206.82$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1421740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Braves64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727153.5%38 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Marlins47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9412857%73 W · 55 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4779…211fbacked Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec14…afbbbacked Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2019…a6a9backed Braves54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7620…b9eabacked Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3236…8f9ebacked Braves54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd6…966cbacked Braves54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c61…a273backed Braves54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc94…72debacked Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b8…729cbacked Braves54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba6…8340backed Braves54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c32…3b86backed Braves54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb290…27c5backed Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…c850backed Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0138…cdf1backed Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28fe…620bbacked Braves54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928353%44 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb340…6b02backed Braves54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef2…220bbacked Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f5…31d4backed Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc213…f12bbacked Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925250%26 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d18…f551backed Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x069c…ed7bbacked Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925046%23 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2916…bb5bbacked Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925435.2%19 W · 35 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfffa…f24dbacked Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a1…99aabacked Braves54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40a0…a1c0backed Braves54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e00…c26cbacked Marlins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925054%27 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.