College Football · resolved market
Spread: Kennesaw State (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38b5cc7984643b77a97cd24ad35213d61f19181e8ce7bfc5daf60357e6c33e76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kennesaw Stateof Kennesaw State, Florida International
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kennesaw State | 47c | 17,979$8,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,492.62 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Florida International | 54c | 16,723$9,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,030.37 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Florida International | 53c | 10,954$5,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,794.2 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kennesaw State | 46c | 7,316$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.64 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kennesaw State | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kennesaw State | 46c | 5,615$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.28 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Florida International | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kennesaw State | 45c | 3,254$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.7 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Kennesaw State | 47c | 2,782$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Florida International | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Florida International | 52c | 1,163$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.89 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Kennesaw State | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Florida International | 55c | 1,120$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Florida International | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Kennesaw State | 46c | 724.27$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.56 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…501bbacked Florida International | 56c | 555$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Florida International | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Florida International | 53c | 259.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Florida International | 53c | 219.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Kennesaw State | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Kennesaw State | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…534cbacked Kennesaw State | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Florida International | 55c | 102$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Kennesaw State | 47c | 87.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Florida International | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Kennesaw State | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Kennesaw State | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Florida International | 53c | 44.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…2372backed Kennesaw State | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Florida International | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…379bbacked Kennesaw State | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kennesaw State (-3.5)this page
- Kennesaw State vs. Florida InternationalKennesaw State won
- O/U 49.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.