College Football · resolved market
Spread: East Carolina (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd331a432c229670d03b794fde132db9c8841dc497c81853a1ee734cf782d9115
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulsaof East Carolina, Tulsa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Tulsa | 50c | 70,000$34,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed East Carolina | 51c | 48,395$24,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,525.04 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Tulsa | 55c | 13,353$7,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,009 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed East Carolina | 47c | 10,300$4,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874.77 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Tulsa | 54c | 10,000$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,611.84 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked East Carolina | 52c | 9,943$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170.34 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked East Carolina | 45c | 8,049$3,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,656.31 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked East Carolina | 46c | 5,945$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.13 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked East Carolina | 45c | 3,006$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.78 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed East Carolina | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked East Carolina | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed East Carolina | 46c | 1,567$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.83 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…814fbacked East Carolina | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed East Carolina | 45c | 1,134$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.3 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed East Carolina | 45c | 1,101$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.49 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tulsa | 54c | 1,067$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.82 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed Tulsa | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Tulsa | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Tulsa | 55c | 682$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe066…9ebbbacked Tulsa | 54c | 422.13$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed East Carolina | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed East Carolina | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed East Carolina | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Tulsa | 52c | 82.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…5da2backed Tulsa | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked East Carolina | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed East Carolina | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed East Carolina | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x174c…49b1backed East Carolina | 48c | 23.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Tulsa | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: East Carolina (-17.5)this page
- O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: East Carolina (-16.5)Tulsa won
- Tulsa vs. East CarolinaEast Carolina won
- Tulsa vs. East Carolina: O/U 53.5Over won
- Tulsa vs. East Carolina: O/U 55.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.