College Football · resolved market
Spread: East Carolina (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97c7c223cf5672cc31acc2bb484daf95010627a9beac65ee832df3e952a26a77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulsaof East Carolina, Tulsa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Tulsa | 53c | 11,000$5,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,134.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed East Carolina | 46c | 9,131$4,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,234.72 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Tulsa | 49c | 5,992$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.64 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked East Carolina | 51c | 5,932$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.2 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked East Carolina | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Tulsa | 47c | 2,325$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.25 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Tulsa | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed East Carolina | 50c | 1,183$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed East Carolina | 61c | 960.35$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.81 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed East Carolina | 55c | 855.97$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.96 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Tulsa | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Tulsa | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tulsa | 48c | 295$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.4 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked East Carolina | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed East Carolina | 51c | 225.4$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Tulsa | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed East Carolina | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Tulsa | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed East Carolina | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…2e7fbacked East Carolina | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Tulsa | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Tulsa | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed East Carolina | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Tulsa | 47c | 41.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed East Carolina | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tulsa | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: East Carolina (-16.5)this page
- O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: East Carolina (-17.5)Tulsa won
- Tulsa vs. East CarolinaEast Carolina won
- Tulsa vs. East Carolina: O/U 53.5Over won
- Tulsa vs. East Carolina: O/U 55.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.