College Football · resolved market
Tulsa vs. East Carolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8724e142a756330a6b0fa515c5a511ddd189af34910441d8bbf8192052d296f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Carolinaof Tulsa, East Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,154,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,081,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,154,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Tulsa | 12c | 353,573$43,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,941.31 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Tulsa | 12c | 100,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tulsa | 13c | 95,421$12,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,224.84 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Tulsa | 13c | 76,500$9,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,944.95 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Tulsa | 15c | 73,599$10,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,736.93 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Tulsa | 8c | 55,361$4,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,603.48 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Tulsa | 12c | 35,907$4,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,308.82 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Tulsa | 12c | 33,765$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.02 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Tulsa | 12c | 30,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Tulsa | 12c | 24,686$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.32 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Tulsa | 14c | 15,190$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Tulsa | 12c | 15,000$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.02 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tulsa | 12c | 15,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Tulsa | 13c | 15,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.98 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Tulsa | 11c | 14,366$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.24 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Tulsa | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfba…3585backed Tulsa | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…cf2ebacked Tulsa | 14c | 7,590$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 18cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tulsa | 13c | 6,265$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.75 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tulsa | 12c | 6,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…5a9ebacked Tulsa | 14c | 5,404$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Tulsa | 12c | 4,141$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.92 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tulsa | 10c | 3,733$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.65 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…05efbacked Tulsa | 4c | 3,060$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…4ea0backed Tulsa | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Tulsa | 5c | 2,440$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…d8a7backed Tulsa | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Tulsa | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Tulsa | 2c | 1,730$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…d53fbacked Tulsa | 14c | 1,606$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Tulsa | 1c | 1,578$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Tulsa | 14c | 1,400$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.05 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…61b1backed Tulsa | 13c | 1,314$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tulsa | 8c | 1,106$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Tulsa | 5c | 1,012$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Tulsa | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…8d6cbacked Tulsa | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Tulsa | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Tulsa | 14c | 775.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Tulsa | 10c | 730.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Tulsa | 8c | 678.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Tulsa | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tulsa | 8c | 548.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…7d03backed Tulsa | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Tulsa | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Tulsa | 14c | 453$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Tulsa | 13c | 399.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…9d08backed Tulsa | 14c | 370$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Tulsa | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Tulsa | 12c | 300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…76f5backed Tulsa | 14c | 260$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Tulsa | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Tulsa | 9c | 222.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Tulsa | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tulsa | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Tulsa | 12c | 194$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…41b3backed Tulsa | 12c | 171.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Tulsa | 13c | 139.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…8c39backed Tulsa | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Tulsa | 14c | 128.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…a54ebacked Tulsa | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tulsa | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Tulsa | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Tulsa | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Tulsa | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ca…97c6backed Tulsa | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1609…7b1fbacked Tulsa | 12c | 98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Tulsa | 13c | 81.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Tulsa | 14c | 79.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tulsa vs. East Carolinathis page
- O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: East Carolina (-16.5)Tulsa won
- Spread: East Carolina (-17.5)Tulsa won
- Tulsa vs. East Carolina: O/U 53.5Over won
- Tulsa vs. East Carolina: O/U 55.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.