College Football · resolved market
O/U 54.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcec0dcaf6fa8a66604901836f91c60943cddff9f7ac78c19cd5313a17d6e7635
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Over | 50c | 14,065$7,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,032.5 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 7,710$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.11 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 7,517$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.31 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 49c | 5,444$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.7 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 50c | 4,862$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.09 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 51c | 2,236$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.84 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 895.41$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.75 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…8c92backed Under | 53c | 509.43$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 47c | 428$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.84 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…61b1backed Under | 51c | 420$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 52c | 263.64$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.09 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Over | 51c | 97.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…a079backed Under | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Under | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…3834backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…e7d8backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 52c | 36.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4f…3d87backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x174c…49b1backed Under | 52c | 21.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…7359backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 54.5this page
- Spread: East Carolina (-16.5)Tulsa won
- Spread: East Carolina (-17.5)Tulsa won
- Tulsa vs. East CarolinaEast Carolina won
- Tulsa vs. East Carolina: O/U 53.5Over won
- Tulsa vs. East Carolina: O/U 55.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.