College Football · resolved market
O/U 57.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2050fa32964a7c0d55c402f37b231e55e45b0ed6ebfe5dd29635df302596a365
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Under | 52c | 11,729$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.08 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 47c | 5,002$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 48c | 3,904$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.08 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,394$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.14 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Over | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393a…db05backed Over | 49c | 895.35$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Under | 51c | 202.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Under | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Over | 48c | 97.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Over | 47c | 93.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Under | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaac9…66bebacked Over | 49c | 26.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a7…31aebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 57.5this page
- Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville StateJacksonville State won
- Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-2.5)Jacksonville State won
- Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-3.5)Jacksonville State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.