College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5605bb687707bc1bda11fecbf0395ae8f16f34d84fa1f1b645b79acb9cb18222
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgiaof Georgia, Ole Miss
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Ole Miss | 55c | 33,240$18,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,186.41 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Georgia | 46c | 14,547$6,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,880.36 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Georgia | 47c | 8,154$3,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340.24 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Ole Miss | 53c | 6,500$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Georgia | 48c | 6,087$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.24 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Ole Miss | 51c | 5,889$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.33 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Georgia | 45c | 5,564$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.92 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ole Miss | 52c | 4,810$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.21 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Georgia | 46c | 4,507$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.39 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Georgia | 47c | 4,025$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.14 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…cb02backed Georgia | 47c | 3,936$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ole Miss | 57c | 3,620$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.99 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Ole Miss | 53c | 2,640$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Georgia | 14c | 2,596$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.57 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Ole Miss | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Georgia | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Georgia | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.91 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Georgia | 45c | 1,869$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.23 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Georgia | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.5 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Georgia | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Georgia | 49c | 1,020$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.8 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Ole Miss | 54c | 1,006$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.86 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Ole Miss | 53c | 950$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.5 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Ole Miss | 54c | 918.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Georgia | 50c | 740.9$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.69 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Georgia | 47c | 717.96$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.52 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Georgia | 48c | 527$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Georgia | 48c | 525$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Ole Miss | 54c | 375$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Ole Miss | 54c | 351.85$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…7a07backed Georgia | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Georgia | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Georgia | 46c | 263.04$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.04 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Georgia | 46c | 218$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Ole Miss | 53c | 212$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Ole Miss | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…5da2backed Ole Miss | 52c | 168$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…7942backed Ole Miss | 32c | 134.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Georgia | 48c | 115$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Georgia | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…38a5backed Ole Miss | 55c | 91.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Georgia | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…41cebacked Ole Miss | 60c | 82.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Ole Miss | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Georgia | 47c | 65.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…8c92backed Ole Miss | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Ole Miss | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Georgia | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Georgia | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Georgia | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Georgia | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Ole Miss | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…534cbacked Ole Miss | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Georgia | 47c | 33.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…ca87backed Georgia | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Ole Miss | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Georgia | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Georgia | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Georgia | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia (-7.5)this page
- O/U 54.5Over won
- Ole Miss vs. GeorgiaGeorgia won
- Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 56.5Over won
- Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 57.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.