TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Falcons vs. Cowboys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cowboys of Falcons , Cowboys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f91…907fbacked Falcons 44c8,816$3,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,878.7212843.8%56 W · 72 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cowboys 56c8,609$4,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,787.7541851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Cowboys 59c4,199$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.2531848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Falcons 18c3,943$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.421526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Falcons 41c3,313$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.0715044.7%67 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Falcons 35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05024551%125 W · 120 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b8…b745backed Cowboys 57c1,800$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Falcons 43c1,800$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77460%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Cowboys 61c1,530$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.513372.7%24 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Falcons 1c1,375$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.974311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Falcons 39c1,151$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.0828436.3%103 W · 181 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Falcons 19c1,079$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9968446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Falcons 20c1,009$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4448847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Falcons 25c854.44$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.26714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-72.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Cowboys 78c813.76$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.236245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Falcons 39c755.56$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.6714351%73 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cowboys 58c679$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.1839754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Falcons 43c567.19$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.3113335.3%47 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Cowboys 60c500.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.76850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Cowboys 61c500$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.751478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Cowboys 57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21512133.9%41 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Falcons 41c499.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Falcons 42c499.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.993844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Falcons 40c499.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.916333.3%21 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5e4…eff6backed Falcons 12c416$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9270%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Falcons 40c396.01$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6332050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Falcons 42c239$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3811047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Falcons 44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Falcons 44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Falcons 27c213.22$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4518151.9%94 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Falcons 26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Falcons 41c199.96$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.989633.3%32 W · 64 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed11…a858backed Falcons 16c154.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.312213.6%3 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-70.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6f13…99bebacked Falcons 43c151.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Cowboys 61c145.05$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.412954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Falcons 42c126.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.866346%29 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Falcons 40c124.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10a2…37c7backed Cowboys 58c117.55$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Falcons 44c114.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Falcons 42c108.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4436826.9%99 W · 269 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Falcons 42c100.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1912250%61 W · 61 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked Falcons 45c100.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Falcons 14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Falcons 40c99.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9926331.6%83 W · 180 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Falcons 41c99.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3223024.3%56 W · 174 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Falcons 40c87.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515855.7%88 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bee…e2f5backed Falcons 45c74.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5c7…73ecbacked Cowboys 58c74.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a6…4421backed Falcons 45c73.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48b5…0d3bbacked Cowboys 58c73.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8b…4955backed Falcons 45c72.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc295…68acbacked Falcons 45c71.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24a…88f3backed Falcons 45c71.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b5…c549backed Cowboys 58c71.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de6…7229backed Cowboys 59c70.51$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x745a…14e8backed Cowboys 59c70.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7b…b37fbacked Falcons 45c67.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a8…5f1abacked Falcons 30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x887f…e69abacked Cowboys 59c66.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91b6…d4b2backed Falcons 45c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad1c…741dbacked Cowboys 58c65.69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c68…b1cfbacked Falcons 46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306066.7%40 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa198…3ac6backed Falcons 45c64.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dfb…6e48backed Cowboys 58c64.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45fa…782bbacked Cowboys 58c64.45$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a71…35b2backed Falcons 45c64.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x651d…1842backed Falcons 45c63.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e26…1855backed Cowboys 59c63.63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x688f…3637backed Cowboys 59c63.56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf03a…1629backed Falcons 45c63.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2a…c0b9backed Falcons 46c63.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2cd…e05abacked Cowboys 59c62.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6e…1256backed Cowboys 59c59.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…8ca9backed Falcons 45c59.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Falcons 42c58.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.771844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Cowboys 62c58.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.467755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5465…48dfbacked Cowboys 58c52.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x896b…0a51backed Cowboys 58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c0…1bb5backed Falcons 45c51.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x918c…05f3backed Falcons 45c50.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8637…7f33backed Cowboys 59c49.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85ab…8b3cbacked Falcons 41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Falcons 45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44f…12ffbacked Falcons 45c43.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae00…5586backed Cowboys 58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9e…c721backed Cowboys 59c43.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d68…8113backed Cowboys 58c40.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…7b6ebacked Falcons 43c39.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1917060.6%103 W · 67 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f09…cff4backed Cowboys 58c39.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a0…a12fbacked Cowboys 59c38.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac7b…6535backed Cowboys 59c37.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeacb…8204backed Falcons 45c37.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa321…4833backed Falcons 45c37.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6674…d1d3backed Cowboys 58c36.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34bf…ee9ebacked Falcons 45c36.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3635…17c8backed Cowboys 60c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.345855.2%32 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed Falcons 44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Falcons 42c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.737350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x285f…2692backed Cowboys 58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3443…a2ffbacked Cowboys 58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.