NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x200b014bb3aabc1c3bc9a9149363d9736cc4db57f0bf7b515813030213be582c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Under | 49c | 6,244$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.6 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Over | 50c | 5,664$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.96 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 2,993$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.94 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…e9d2backed Over | 49c | 1,613$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 1,388$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 1,388$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 37c | 185.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…2e7fbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 67c | 101$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…3a2dbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Under | 58c | 82.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf53b…4340backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa87…dd7abacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. SharksHurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.