College Football · resolved market
Will Iowa beat UCLA?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde574d5ece06b659eba2d28f0a69636d3f167b089bca7662a0e1673c2545ae2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLAof Iowa, UCLA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed UCLA | 43c | 8,546$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,871.12 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Iowa | 56c | 5,654$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.45 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked UCLA | 79c | 2,207$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked UCLA | 73c | 2,050$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Iowa | 71c | 1,332$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.76 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Iowa | 40c | 1,099$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.73 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed UCLA | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Iowa | 65c | 981.91$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.34 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed UCLA | 29c | 899.97$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.98 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed UCLA | 68c | 878$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.96 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Iowa | 40c | 750$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.5 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed UCLA | 27c | 577.44$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed UCLA | 31c | 499.97$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.98 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa45…0eb0backed Iowa | 71c | 325.63$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Iowa | 74c | 269.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.21 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…8fbdbacked UCLA | 32c | 222.13$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…5ab3backed Iowa | 69c | 187.64$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Iowa | 46c | 175$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…2ae9backed Iowa | 70c | 166.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 73cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…136fbacked UCLA | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked UCLA | 32c | 143.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…ebbcbacked Iowa | 69c | 140.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Iowa | 80c | 126.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ab…d820backed Iowa | 71c | 124.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8b…56d0backed Iowa | 71c | 116.06$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…c737backed Iowa | 71c | 82.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Iowa | 71c | 77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Iowa | 51c | 59.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…3bdbbacked Iowa | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Iowa | 68c | 56.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Iowa | 69c | 54.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x244b…c990backed Iowa | 71c | 53.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Iowa | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed UCLA | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed UCLA | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4975…c492backed UCLA | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc0…e009backed Iowa | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab79…695fbacked UCLA | 64c | 42.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6648…5ba5backed Iowa | 71c | 40.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…beb6backed Iowa | 69c | 39.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a0…ee9ebacked UCLA | 43c | 36.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Iowa | 62c | 34.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iowa beat UCLA?this page
- Will Iowa and UCLA combine for 45 or more points?Under won
- Will Iowa beat UCLA by 7 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.