NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x888065b7c5659489d22d259bcec8a8cf30075b72c04b199da381d8aeb652aaad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nuggets | 78c | 12,875$10,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.58 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Jazz | 21c | 7,350$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.49 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Jazz | 20c | 6,594$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.49 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 22c | 5,050$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.75 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jazz | 1c | 4,796$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Jazz | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Nuggets | 77c | 3,788$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.51 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…cac8backed Jazz | 18c | 3,340$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.68 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Nuggets | 80c | 3,102$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.39 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz | 21c | 3,010$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.2 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Jazz | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…eecfbacked Nuggets | 72c | 2,870$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.9 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Jazz | 20c | 2,638$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Jazz | 31c | 2,439$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.27 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Jazz | 22c | 2,370$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.44 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Jazz | 22c | 2,137$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…4106backed Jazz | 17c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Jazz | 18c | 1,985$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.3 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…0c9abacked Nuggets | 68c | 1,400$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Nuggets | 74c | 1,273$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.69 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz | 28c | 1,021$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.63 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Jazz | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Jazz | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jazz | 19c | 900$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Jazz | 23c | 844.71$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.9 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Jazz | 17c | 717.62$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.11 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Jazz | 31c | 636.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz | 24c | 626$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Jazz | 19c | 550$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jazz | 23c | 535.62$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…5d8cbacked Jazz | 17c | 529.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Jazz | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Jazz | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Jazz | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Nuggets | 78c | 475$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Jazz | 21c | 463$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz | 19c | 449$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…d2ddbacked Jazz | 21c | 428.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Jazz | 20c | 424.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz | 22c | 329.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…d9dfbacked Jazz | 9c | 321.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Jazz | 20c | 320$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Jazz | 25c | 310.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Jazz | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Jazz | 15c | 266.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Jazz | 19c | 254.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Jazz | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…5592backed Nuggets | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…e9c0backed Jazz | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…af8ebacked Jazz | 10c | 230$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Jazz | 21c | 222$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Nuggets | 69c | 218.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Jazz | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Jazz | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…5e2abacked Nuggets | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Jazz | 8c | 182.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Nuggets | 70c | 177$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Nuggets | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Jazz | 28c | 134.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…e1a8backed Jazz | 13c | 127$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Jazz | 21c | 120.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c31…5f1bbacked Jazz | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…56ebbacked Nuggets | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…df9dbacked Jazz | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed Nuggets | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096b…8eafbacked Jazz | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…95d3backed Nuggets | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Jazz | 24c | 99.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Jazz | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…58cbbacked Jazz | 21c | 74.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Jazz | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…db37backed Nuggets | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Nuggets | 78c | 64.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…b5dfbacked Nuggets | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Nuggets | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Jazz | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Nuggets | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Jazz | 34c | 59.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72d…7ee9backed Nuggets | 80c | 56.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…280dbacked Nuggets | 70c | 54.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz | 20c | 54.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Jazz | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3d…657dbacked Nuggets | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…5c47backed Jazz | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…50dcbacked Jazz | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…3a19backed Jazz | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Nuggets | 75c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 395 | 48.4%191 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…d75dbacked Jazz | 22c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca58…b37fbacked Nuggets | 79c | 45.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Nuggets | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…3cbfbacked Nuggets | 77c | 39.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…ec9bbacked Nuggets | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Nuggets | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc284…79e9backed Nuggets | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…ea27backed Nuggets | 77c | 26.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Nuggets | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x658c…ac79backed Nuggets | 67c | 19.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked Nuggets | 78c | 19.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…9034backed Nuggets | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.