TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Knicks, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,520

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x986f…cac8backed Knicks20c6,939$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.721323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Mavericks68c6,249$4,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,021.615056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Knicks1c5,461$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.211,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Mavericks69c5,151$3,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.9629043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Mavericks40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.9959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Knicks60c3,750$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d28…bb26backed Mavericks70c3,594$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.133745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Knicks29c2,733$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.3561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks39c2,050$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks57c1,868$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.51,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Mavericks73c1,773$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.8470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Knicks37c1,642$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.0549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Knicks62c1,601$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010945.9%50 W · 59 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe248…36b4backed Mavericks39c1,530$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+60.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks50c1,497$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.4565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Knicks61c1,429$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.6333752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Knicks61c1,400$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84812451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Knicks61c1,348$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.2519943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Knicks33c1,310$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.623835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks27c1,231$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.261,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Knicks61c1,200$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.9837954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Knicks16c1,148$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0511719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8f…ee8dbacked Knicks2c1,140$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2660%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Knicks4c1,103$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4088335.3%312 W · 571 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Mavericks39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61023548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mavericks39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Knicks61c999.99$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9913857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Mavericks38c999.93$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.9516242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Knicks13c956.94$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.041,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Knicks60c805.48$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.2911662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe475…2e6fbacked Knicks3c650.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.043831.6%12 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Knicks44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2644045%18 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc4…28b8backed Knicks62c561.66$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Knicks31c548$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.61,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c8…24dcbacked Mavericks78c517.71$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.191936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e7…a536backed Mavericks39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.825933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4030…1f3ebacked Mavericks39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bf…b25ebacked Mavericks38c500.11$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.07955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Knicks62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3106947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5de…df2abacked Knicks61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Knicks38c499.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Mavericks38c499.92$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.2829148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Mavericks56c449.4$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0523646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa586…86f5backed Knicks44c429.5$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.812123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Knicks34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1369724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Knicks50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Knicks62c399.98$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9914852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4884…9cf8backed Mavericks39c378.13$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.664341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Mavericks39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18312154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb48d…9f73backed Mavericks39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.412748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mavericks39c255.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5638132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eef…4a0ebacked Knicks20c250$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Mavericks38c250$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15515234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Mavericks40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15010153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Knicks60c246.18$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7185347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x963e…4af6backed Mavericks39c230.77$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…6f4fbacked Knicks22c230$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e26…1855backed Mavericks40c229.25$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.556100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x579f…0299backed Knicks61c229.21$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Mavericks37c222$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8620245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d7…4d24backed Knicks25c219.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.592035%7 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb26e…3948backed Mavericks39c212.82$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.82650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Knicks48c210.45$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.028439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Mavericks39c205.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1328063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Knicks54c200$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10712841.4%53 W · 75 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Mavericks62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7610833.3%36 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Mavericks38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12411143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a0…ed74backed Mavericks39c192.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.313773%27 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Mavericks64c180$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.438460.7%51 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Mavericks62c178.97$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.019052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df7…0526backed Mavericks71c178.96$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.91353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Mavericks55c171.94$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.374134.1%14 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Mavericks61c164.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.651,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2489…b2d5backed Knicks62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd13…a813backed Knicks62c160.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd2…5e2abacked Mavericks40c151.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.784727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Mavericks37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.517846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe00b…2a91backed Mavericks40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Mavericks49c149.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4920233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks37c145$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7789…6f26backed Knicks28c143.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1aa…8ce4backed Mavericks38c141.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.73742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Mavericks40c140$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8425651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks78c128.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2768642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a12…e9c0backed Mavericks39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.216144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf33…4eacbacked Knicks16c126.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.446426.6%17 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed1…1094backed Mavericks40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755865.5%38 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc037…6f38backed Mavericks40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb125…cb78backed Mavericks80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95e5…44d9backed Mavericks40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7510051%51 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b9b…6e4abacked Mavericks38c117.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Mavericks43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2810147.5%48 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x796d…555fbacked Knicks62c116.13$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Knicks62c114.19$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.84656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Knicks43c112.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.197536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95ba…4b34backed Knicks62c105.82$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.611163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2110…c799backed Mavericks38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.26714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-62.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Mavericks39c102.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.94136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Mavericks37c102.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0717244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd28a…6bdcbacked Mavericks73c100.29$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3613249.2%65 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.