College Football · resolved market
Will Colorado beat Utah?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb0c68b1989d67795c0354a8eb92387b094851cc39ed6dd94c89e65b161036ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coloradoof Colorado, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Utah | 18c | 22,187$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.07 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Utah | 16c | 2,265$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.95 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Utah | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Utah | 5c | 532.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Utah | 19c | 520.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…62f4backed Utah | 13c | 500$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Utah | 13c | 489.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Utah | 16c | 439.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Utah | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Utah | 17c | 354$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Utah | 14c | 316.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Utah | 9c | 284.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Utah | 12c | 242.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…136fbacked Utah | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Utah | 17c | 100.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Utah | 20c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Utah | 29c | 62.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Colorado | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Colorado | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado beat Utah?this page
- Will Colorado and Utah combine for 45 or more points?Over won
- Will Colorado beat Utah by 11 or more points?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.