MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd39a42d0484e2bc0141a31e31db5e5ac2963af988773575a149cc844ed9c076
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Marlins, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Marlins | 42c | 15,382$6,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,449.22 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Pirates | 68c | 13,062$8,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,196.03 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…e8eebacked Marlins | 41c | 9,998$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20de…dd86backed Pirates | 59c | 9,998$5,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +113%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Marlins | 41c | 7,914$3,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,236.09 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 67c | 5,849$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Marlins | 36c | 5,015$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.95 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Pirates | 62c | 4,930$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 38c | 4,888$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.09 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 59c | 4,349$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.55 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 31c | 3,566$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.48 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Marlins | 31c | 3,427$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.52 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 59c | 3,341$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.94 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 58c | 3,064$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.08 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Pirates | 59c | 2,932$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.96 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Pirates | 58c | 2,800$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Marlins | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Pirates | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.98 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 27c | 1,821$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Pirates | 69c | 1,761$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.91 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Pirates | 60c | 1,666$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.41 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 72c | 1,658$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.62 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Pirates | 65c | 1,540$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.95 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Marlins | 32c | 1,240$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Marlins | 2c | 1,093$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Pirates | 73c | 1,031$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.49 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Marlins | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Marlins | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Marlins | 8c | 929.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Pirates | 58c | 864$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.88 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Marlins | 31c | 816.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 39c | 807.15$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.86 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Marlins | 16c | 725$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Pirates | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pirates | 60c | 666.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.9 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Marlins | 23c | 607.94$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Marlins | 40c | 599.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pirates | 57c | 572.35$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.11 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Marlins | 43c | 563.65$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.37 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 15c | 545.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pirates | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…c455backed Marlins | 39c | 463.46$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.75 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 41c | 399.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 58c | 356$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Marlins | 42c | 356$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…97d0backed Pirates | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…5921backed Marlins | 13c | 312.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Marlins | 39c | 307.04$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Pirates | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Pirates | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 41c | 258.56$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Pirates | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 41c | 244.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Pirates | 64c | 231.25$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Marlins | 9c | 224.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 41c | 199.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Marlins | 42c | 199.93$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Pirates | 60c | 187.28$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 24c | 171.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Pirates | 59c | 170.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Marlins | 36c | 162.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Pirates | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Pirates | 71c | 151.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Pirates | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Pirates | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pirates | 73c | 134.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Marlins | 42c | 120.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Marlins | 27c | 112.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Pirates | 59c | 102.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Pirates | 58c | 100.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Marlins | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 60c | 98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Marlins | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 41c | 97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Marlins | 19c | 95.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Marlins | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pirates | 58c | 93.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Pirates | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pirates | 58c | 79.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Marlins | 38c | 79.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Marlins | 41c | 78.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Pirates | 60c | 75.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Marlins | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…dce7backed Pirates | 71c | 70.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 41c | 63.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Pirates | 65c | 60.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed Pirates | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Marlins | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Pirates | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Pirates | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b17…6424backed Pirates | 60c | 50.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 43c | 47.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Pirates | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.