College Football · resolved market
Iowa State vs. Arizona State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07eb44d583c717d4b1acfb40fa2214045bbb02e7318e9316552d11374f63ca12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Stateof Iowa State, Arizona State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Arizona State | 50c | 40,036$20,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,018.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Iowa State | 0c | 33,777$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Iowa State | 50c | 19,034$9,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,516.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Iowa State | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…2205backed Arizona State | 40c | 10,046$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,027.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Iowa State | 50c | 9,635$4,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,829.18 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Arizona State | 70c | 9,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Iowa State | 47c | 6,678$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.61 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed Arizona State | 50c | 5,773$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Iowa State | 18c | 5,472$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.49 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…78c4backed Iowa State | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Iowa State | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…cd72backed Arizona State | 53c | 3,438$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Iowa State | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Iowa State | 3c | 2,824$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Arizona State | 50c | 2,458$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +169.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Iowa State | 50c | 2,277$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.96 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Arizona State | 52c | 2,069$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.12 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arizona State | 50c | 2,056$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.11 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Arizona State | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…a9c3backed Arizona State | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Iowa State | 50c | 1,609$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.47 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Arizona State | 52c | 1,501$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.49 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Iowa State | 47c | 1,274$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.19 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Arizona State | 49c | 1,235$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.82 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Iowa State | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Arizona State | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Arizona State | 52c | 999.86$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.93 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Arizona State | 50c | 975.44$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.72 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Arizona State | 53c | 931.07$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.73 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Iowa State | 56c | 925.22$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.04 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Arizona State | 71c | 900.66$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Iowa State | 3c | 877.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Iowa State | 49c | 872.76$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Iowa State | 50c | 819.79$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Iowa State | 34c | 792.64$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.88 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6801…9726backed Arizona State | 54c | 751$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Arizona State | 55c | 733.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.02 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Iowa State | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Iowa State | 55c | 641.4$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Iowa State | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Arizona State | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e1…e9eabacked Arizona State | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9c…36e4backed Iowa State | 52c | 578.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…d1cbbacked Iowa State | 46c | 544.92$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Iowa State | 30c | 514.13$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.41 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Iowa State | 26c | 509$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.42 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed Arizona State | 52c | 500$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed Iowa State | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Iowa State | 46c | 499.84$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.93 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Iowa State | 11c | 444.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Iowa State | 49c | 408.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…9869backed Arizona State | 53c | 405.3$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Iowa State | 47c | 404.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…da3cbacked Arizona State | 50c | 400$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Iowa State | 51c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Iowa State | 46c | 390$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Arizona State | 54c | 383.88$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Iowa State | 47c | 340.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.17 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Arizona State | 61c | 340.23$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.69 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Arizona State | 63c | 320$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Arizona State | 71c | 307.55$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Arizona State | 46c | 299.97$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.98 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Arizona State | 62c | 287.52$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…e061backed Iowa State | 31c | 277.88$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…2ce1backed Arizona State | 80c | 243.13$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Iowa State | 32c | 232.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Iowa State | 44c | 231$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…8d4bbacked Arizona State | 66c | 228.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe603…94b4backed Arizona State | 45c | 223.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Iowa State | 13c | 220$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…5df3backed Arizona State | 50c | 212.12$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Iowa State | 12c | 210$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…c63fbacked Iowa State | 46c | 206.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Iowa State | 47c | 203.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…08c7backed Iowa State | 43c | 199.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Arizona State | 61c | 173.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Iowa State | 49c | 149.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Arizona State | 48c | 122.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…64d1backed Iowa State | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…c3a2backed Arizona State | 55c | 119.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…9f73backed Iowa State | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef6…8183backed Iowa State | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…bf4dbacked Arizona State | 56c | 106.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Iowa State | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Iowa State | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Arizona State | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Arizona State | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Iowa State | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…cb4dbacked Arizona State | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Iowa State | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Iowa State | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Iowa State | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Iowa State | 46c | 98.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…2a91backed Arizona State | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd741…a353backed Iowa State | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…0f41backed Iowa State | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…7a30backed Arizona State | 55c | 97.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5600backed Arizona State | 55c | 97.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaef…94a1backed Arizona State | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.