MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd562c38c5cc883e13583a4759dba9596aca087fc5a62981558c7f12860c87e8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d38…5f8bbacked Brewers | 45c | 30,207$13,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,613.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…c41abacked Reds | 55c | 29,810$16,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,395.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e40…4141backed Reds | 53c | 9,995$5,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,297.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…2232backed Brewers | 47c | 9,995$4,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,297.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…c953backed Brewers | 54c | 8,978$4,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,097.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 32c | 7,273$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.59 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Reds | 62c | 7,101$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.86 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Reds | 1c | 5,894$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 44c | 5,434$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.63 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Reds | 54c | 4,718$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.01 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Brewers | 38c | 4,538$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.73 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Reds | 54c | 4,465$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.93 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 46c | 4,233$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.24 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 32c | 4,200$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.39 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Reds | 2c | 2,320$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Brewers | 42c | 2,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.12 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ea…f8fdbacked Brewers | 47c | 1,913$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Reds | 54c | 1,907$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Reds | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…6a3cbacked Reds | 52c | 1,654$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…b085backed Brewers | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f3…f4fabacked Brewers | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…ea97backed Reds | 53c | 1,479$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…4e13backed Brewers | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…5c9bbacked Brewers | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…0c7bbacked Reds | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…e2b5backed Reds | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Brewers | 76c | 1,308$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.79 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 46c | 1,299$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.03 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 46c | 1,271$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.52 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Reds | 54c | 1,245$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.18 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 47c | 1,207$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.85 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 51c | 1,143$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.35 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Brewers | 47c | 1,113$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.02 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Reds | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Brewers | 47c | 999.95$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.97 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Brewers | 47c | 999.93$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.96 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Reds | 53c | 979.96$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.38 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…2114backed Reds | 53c | 962$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…da24backed Reds | 53c | 951$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Reds | 34c | 875.22$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.49 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Brewers | 48c | 838.1$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.81 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Reds | 1c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Reds | 2c | 777.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Brewers | 50c | 755.45$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.45 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…eb7cbacked Brewers | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Reds | 52c | 673.41$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.98 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Brewers | 48c | 662.81$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.66 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Reds | 57c | 591.23$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.73 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x004f…c39fbacked Reds | 55c | 581.82$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Brewers | 46c | 565.77$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.63 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Reds | 50c | 549.38$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.69 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…c455backed Reds | 8c | 530$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Reds | 52c | 511.5$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.98 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Brewers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Brewers | 50c | 432.63$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.03 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 53c | 409.43$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Brewers | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…40febacked Reds | 56c | 397$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…4b7ebacked Reds | 55c | 397$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Brewers | 73c | 363.36$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Brewers | 46c | 325.65$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.65 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…3a3fbacked Brewers | 48c | 306$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Brewers | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2770…275ebacked Brewers | 48c | 203.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Brewers | 71c | 200.01$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brewers | 47c | 190.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Reds | 28c | 183$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…7afebacked Brewers | 49c | 179.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…6864backed Reds | 54c | 179.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…f608backed Reds | 54c | 170.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Reds | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7704…bdcdbacked Reds | 54c | 134.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Reds | 54c | 128.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9071…e8cdbacked Brewers | 48c | 128.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Brewers | 45c | 127.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd113…7c96backed Reds | 15c | 126.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…f94ebacked Reds | 54c | 125.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Reds | 27c | 111.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…d8b1backed Reds | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846e…6131backed Brewers | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…d0d3backed Brewers | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…e9bbbacked Reds | 52c | 98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…f2d7backed Brewers | 48c | 96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…991dbacked Reds | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c36…be27backed Brewers | 48c | 86.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Reds | 53c | 86.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6788…c37abacked Reds | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dd…e013backed Brewers | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…3450backed Reds | 53c | 83.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc3…a12cbacked Brewers | 48c | 82.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Reds | 29c | 76.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Reds | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Reds | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Reds | 56c | 70.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Brewers | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.