MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb1771d43d9a3701e7468bd700a9d121fe64a87b4f6d7cb58c61e9bc20761da5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Astros, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Astros | 43c | 20,549$8,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,836.07 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Guardians | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Astros | 43c | 6,464$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.5 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Guardians | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.41 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Guardians | 57c | 3,550$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.98 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 16c | 3,416$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.58 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Guardians | 63c | 2,369$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.79 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 58c | 2,332$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.89 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 11c | 2,053$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.42 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Guardians | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Guardians | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.97 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Astros | 43c | 1,989$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.27 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Astros | 16c | 1,376$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 41c | 1,233$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.1 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Guardians | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 73c | 952.3$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Astros | 20c | 930.23$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.74 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Astros | 20c | 791.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Astros | 3c | 652.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Astros | 4c | 631.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Astros | 36c | 627$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.35 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…d29ebacked Astros | 17c | 576.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Guardians | 57c | 542.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.49 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 58c | 503.68$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Astros | 42c | 474.98$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Guardians | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Guardians | 57c | 442.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.39 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Astros | 46c | 436.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 44c | 373.41$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Guardians | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Astros | 34c | 293.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 22c | 291.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…2377backed Astros | 40c | 250.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 43c | 233.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…e089backed Astros | 19c | 230.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Astros | 40c | 230$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 58c | 227$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Guardians | 58c | 220$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Astros | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Guardians | 72c | 185.26$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Astros | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 43c | 162.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Astros | 20c | 142.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Astros | 33c | 122.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Guardians | 64c | 118.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Astros | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Astros | 51c | 109.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…f19bbacked Guardians | 58c | 108$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a1…49dfbacked Astros | 42c | 108$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Astros | 40c | 101$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Astros | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Astros | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Guardians | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 43c | 74.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Guardians | 55c | 71.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed Guardians | 56c | 71.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Astros | 22c | 68.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Astros | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 44c | 66.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…9022backed Guardians | 58c | 64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ca…8ecabacked Astros | 42c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Astros | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Guardians | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Astros | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…c25dbacked Astros | 42c | 55.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…c4bdbacked Guardians | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Guardians | 57c | 55.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d9…3535backed Astros | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…fcd9backed Astros | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Guardians | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Astros | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…06a8backed Guardians | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Astros | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Astros | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Guardians | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Guardians | 58c | 39.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Guardians | 59c | 38.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Guardians | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Guardians | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Guardians | 77c | 29.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…beafbacked Astros | 43c | 29.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Guardians | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Guardians | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e1…d32ebacked Guardians | 58c | 17.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.