MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ec8d6e703a003aeb80f416484e02a55c4ee227fd3e5e6904ef2c5f81bf70959
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Brewers, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc605…d372backed Reds | 71c | 28,216$19,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,316.75 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Reds | 53c | 24,268$12,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,341.49 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Brewers | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Brewers | 45c | 15,654$7,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,044.35 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Reds | 54c | 12,219$6,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,660.33 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 47c | 12,148$5,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,455.19 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 47c | 11,523$5,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,415.58 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Brewers | 34c | 10,928$3,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,693 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Brewers | 46c | 10,070$4,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,632.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Reds | 53c | 9,674$5,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,551.77 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Reds | 54c | 9,183$4,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.33 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 33c | 5,934$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.88 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 32c | 5,404$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.46 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Brewers | 48c | 4,433$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.29 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Reds | 49c | 4,210$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.25 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Brewers | 57c | 3,734$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.66 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Brewers | 26c | 3,543$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Brewers | 17c | 3,408$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.87 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Reds | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 46c | 2,472$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.64 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…7114backed Brewers | 48c | 2,300$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 12c | 2,204$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.35 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Brewers | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Brewers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Brewers | 45c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.96 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 47c | 1,975$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.54 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers | 22c | 1,820$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Brewers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…86f3backed Brewers | 1c | 1,208$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 47c | 1,165$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.89 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe677…f43abacked Reds | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 46c | 1,151$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.25 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c8…9011backed Reds | 52c | 1,146$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Reds | 54c | 1,087$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Brewers | 45c | 1,066$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.93 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 46c | 1,002$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Reds | 53c | 922.92$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.21 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…a627backed Brewers | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Brewers | 63c | 742$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Brewers | 13c | 727.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 54c | 705.73$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Brewers | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Brewers | 45c | 693.54$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.09 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Reds | 62c | 678.93$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Brewers | 47c | 616.35$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.69 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Brewers | 47c | 600$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brewers | 47c | 554.12$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…d22fbacked Reds | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Brewers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Reds | 54c | 461.96$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Brewers | 46c | 456.52$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 47c | 431.81$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.26 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Brewers | 13c | 413.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Reds | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Brewers | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Brewers | 19c | 390.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Reds | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Reds | 43c | 354.92$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.06 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…054abacked Brewers | 46c | 347.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Brewers | 56c | 340$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.06 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Brewers | 44c | 328$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Brewers | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Brewers | 46c | 284.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Reds | 52c | 262.24$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.87 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Brewers | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Reds | 49c | 233.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.87 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Reds | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Brewers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 30c | 214$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Brewers | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Brewers | 47c | 209.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Brewers | 36c | 201.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Reds | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Reds | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…c5a4backed Reds | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Reds | 53c | 156.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Brewers | 49c | 144.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Brewers | 47c | 140.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Reds | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…7484backed Reds | 76c | 131.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Reds | 70c | 127.59$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Reds | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46db…6752backed Brewers | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…592dbacked Reds | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3d…cb42backed Reds | 52c | 118$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…4f27backed Reds | 52c | 118$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d55…154ebacked Brewers | 48c | 118$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…d4ddbacked Brewers | 48c | 118$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Brewers | 48c | 116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…13d0backed Reds | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…e9f2backed Brewers | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…0250backed Reds | 52c | 114$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…c937backed Brewers | 48c | 114$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…c88fbacked Brewers | 48c | 112$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a7…ae0fbacked Reds | 52c | 112$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…d22bbacked Brewers | 48c | 112$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf0…87d0backed Reds | 52c | 112$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.