MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee8c5651440870bad1705c9a1becb0003b7f493a748bb206827fccaea7b1bf60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Astros, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x440d…ceaabacked Pirates | 47c | 34,165$16,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,107.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…9df2backed Astros | 53c | 33,727$17,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,875.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Pirates | 46c | 22,222$10,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,008.16 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 54c | 11,530$6,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,225.93 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 7c | 9,294$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.9 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Pirates | 46c | 4,650$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.99 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 42c | 4,455$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.51 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Astros | 1c | 3,928$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Astros | 54c | 3,465$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.17 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Astros | 4c | 3,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Pirates | 80c | 2,998$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.58 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 45c | 2,744$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.05 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…d29ebacked Astros | 11c | 2,636$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Astros | 55c | 2,444$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.36 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Astros | 13c | 2,319$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.81 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 45c | 2,070$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.7 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Astros | 25c | 1,955$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.08 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Astros | 17c | 1,898$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.53 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 53c | 1,502$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.94 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Astros | 55c | 1,466$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.39 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 56c | 1,452$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.76 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Astros | 54c | 1,254$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.32 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Astros | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Astros | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0248…688abacked Astros | 54c | 1,011$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Astros | 5c | 983.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Astros | 9c | 950.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Astros | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 54c | 913$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.02 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astros | 19c | 805.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.57 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Astros | 55c | 804.22$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.32 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Astros | 9c | 792$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 9c | 734.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 54c | 716.21$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.76 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Astros | 55c | 699.9$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.94 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 54c | 666.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.17 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Astros | 55c | 665.2$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.86 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 54c | 660.35$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.59 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Pirates | 69c | 657.21$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Astros | 3c | 609.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 6c | 608$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Astros | 4c | 596.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 45c | 594$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.85 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Astros | 54c | 550$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Astros | 55c | 525.98$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.29 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Pirates | 43c | 506.93$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.95 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Astros | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 57c | 498.82$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…eb7cbacked Astros | 54c | 470$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Astros | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Astros | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee27…3fa1backed Pirates | 47c | 450$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pirates | 46c | 450$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…40febacked Astros | 53c | 437.97$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Astros | 36c | 424.61$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.86 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…fb0bbacked Astros | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Astros | 54c | 394.26$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.25 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 22c | 386.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Astros | 30c | 385.79$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Astros | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…4b7ebacked Astros | 53c | 369.81$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Astros | 13c | 352.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 13c | 340.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Astros | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 44c | 319.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.74 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Astros | 10c | 307$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Astros | 55c | 299.95$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pirates | 42c | 291.61$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Astros | 8c | 282.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78d…b76abacked Pirates | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 46c | 233.28$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…5f7abacked Astros | 22c | 231.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Astros | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 56c | 220.02$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.21 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e23…51c3backed Pirates | 46c | 219.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 46c | 217.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Astros | 58c | 207.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9e…a62abacked Pirates | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Pirates | 46c | 190$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…0419backed Pirates | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Astros | 54c | 172.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…b000backed Astros | 53c | 167.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…eeb9backed Astros | 53c | 156.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 15c | 154.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Astros | 53c | 148.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…80efbacked Astros | 14c | 145.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1aa…8ce4backed Astros | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe344…456dbacked Astros | 53c | 134.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Astros | 23c | 129.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Astros | 56c | 129.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pirates | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9508…cfa3backed Astros | 54c | 118.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 55c | 114.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7111…b63abacked Pirates | 43c | 108$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.