MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef2abe063fc94beb53a70a1ac93c807b1594cd5278a0eadb838496cf8f0d994a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade3…c17dbacked Phillies | 61c | 52,170$31,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,823.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…ae72backed Brewers | 39c | 52,170$20,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,823.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Phillies | 61c | 20,962$12,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,786.67 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Phillies | 57c | 14,765$8,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,407.27 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 43c | 10,163$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,793.29 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 38c | 8,008$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,960.1 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 39c | 6,943$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.44 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 17c | 5,575$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.1 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Phillies | 62c | 5,435$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.66 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Brewers | 41c | 5,250$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.5 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Brewers | 39c | 4,583$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.63 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Brewers | 40c | 4,172$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.16 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 42c | 4,069$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.32 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Brewers | 42c | 2,405$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.68 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 39c | 2,010$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Phillies | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Brewers | 38c | 1,985$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64bf…c32ebacked Brewers | 38c | 1,308$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 39c | 1,285$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.84 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Brewers | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 44c | 1,213$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Phillies | 63c | 1,057$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Brewers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 7c | 997.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Brewers | 44c | 850.71$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.45 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers | 40c | 788.46$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.46 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Phillies | 61c | 780$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.8 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Phillies | 4c | 753.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Brewers | 80c | 556.79$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 62c | 504.84$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Phillies | 61c | 404$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.44 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Brewers | 31c | 348.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.39 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Phillies | 62c | 348.39$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 62c | 320.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Brewers | 37c | 302.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.92 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 59c | 300.88$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.52 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Phillies | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Phillies | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Brewers | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Phillies | 62c | 260$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 60c | 255$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phillies | 9c | 253$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Brewers | 40c | 250.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.47 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Brewers | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 63c | 225.11$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Phillies | 7c | 211.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Brewers | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Phillies | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Brewers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 38c | 173.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Phillies | 58c | 163.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brewers | 40c | 156.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…ccf4backed Phillies | 78c | 147.18$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Brewers | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Brewers | 43c | 109.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Brewers | 39c | 106.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Brewers | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Phillies | 68c | 88.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked Brewers | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb64…4eb4backed Phillies | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb0…8de9backed Phillies | 62c | 80.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Brewers | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Phillies | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers | 36c | 67.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Phillies | 58c | 67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Brewers | 39c | 64.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 38c | 62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Brewers | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Brewers | 39c | 56.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Phillies | 72c | 54.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Phillies | 61c | 52.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Brewers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Phillies | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Brewers | 38c | 47.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Phillies | 61c | 42.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Phillies | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Phillies | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Phillies | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Phillies | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa67…2bd9backed Brewers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Phillies | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.