MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39b66e62f27b8bd141f9495f501ec8f54472b2de6fe21be4439a642b3c7fb4ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Guardians, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yankees | 72c | 32,604$23,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,158 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Guardians | 28c | 17,264$4,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.05 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 28c | 10,622$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.15 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca32…2128backed Guardians | 30c | 9,998$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…4608backed Yankees | 70c | 9,995$6,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 29c | 6,603$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.5 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 20c | 6,293$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.23 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 28c | 5,300$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 72c | 4,499$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.61 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Guardians | 30c | 4,292$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Guardians | 30c | 3,803$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.95 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 71c | 3,771$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.79 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 78c | 3,681$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Guardians | 1c | 3,386$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 71c | 3,125$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.17 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Guardians | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Guardians | 17c | 2,461$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.8 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Guardians | 21c | 2,126$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.69 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Yankees | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yankees | 71c | 2,000$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.33 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Guardians | 29c | 1,976$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.03 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Guardians | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Guardians | 10c | 1,716$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 15c | 1,609$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Guardians | 25c | 1,399$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.28 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yankees | 73c | 1,365$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.86 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Guardians | 22c | 1,305$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…1c51backed Yankees | 71c | 1,171$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.52 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians | 4c | 1,109$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Guardians | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yankees | 72c | 1,002$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.49 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians | 8c | 863$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Guardians | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Guardians | 30c | 667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Guardians | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ea…d560backed Yankees | 75c | 642.13$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 17c | 598.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…890dbacked Guardians | 29c | 546.27$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Guardians | 5c | 526.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Guardians | 28c | 511$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Guardians | 27c | 507.41$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Guardians | 17c | 505.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Guardians | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…eb96backed Guardians | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Guardians | 15c | 499.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 28c | 499.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guardians | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Guardians | 20c | 353.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Yankees | 72c | 350$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yankees | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…c1a0backed Guardians | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yankees | 80c | 340$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Yankees | 71c | 310.88$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 27c | 302$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Guardians | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…81f0backed Guardians | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Yankees | 71c | 280.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 73c | 274.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Guardians | 28c | 274.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Guardians | 29c | 267.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 71c | 267$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…3f7ebacked Guardians | 7c | 241.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Guardians | 30c | 203.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 30c | 199.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 29c | 199.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…94f3backed Yankees | 73c | 196.46$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guardians | 29c | 189$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…0ab6backed Guardians | 29c | 183.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Guardians | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Guardians | 20c | 174.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yankees | 71c | 159.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Guardians | 13c | 153.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yankees | 70c | 151$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Yankees | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Yankees | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Guardians | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…561ebacked Guardians | 30c | 139.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Guardians | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Yankees | 71c | 129.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Guardians | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yankees | 70c | 119.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bd…dc0ebacked Guardians | 29c | 119$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe793…1368backed Yankees | 71c | 119$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…106ebacked Guardians | 29c | 118$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe3…245abacked Yankees | 71c | 118$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Yankees | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6165backed Yankees | 71c | 112.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…e0c8backed Guardians | 29c | 111$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df3…d2bdbacked Yankees | 71c | 111$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2389…367ebacked Guardians | 29c | 108$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb6…fcffbacked Yankees | 71c | 108$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Guardians | 29c | 104$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Guardians | 29c | 102.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…b00abacked Guardians | 30c | 102$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…369cbacked Yankees | 70c | 102$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.