CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7d63821ae840e04f7a40ffb78391efefafff37199691adc9b71000056adefeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof CYBERSHOKE Esports, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 61c | 6,509$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ASTRAL | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.98 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed ASTRAL | 28c | 1,995$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.3 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ASTRAL | 38c | 1,862$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.09 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked ASTRAL | 18c | 1,200$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.79 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 60c | 838.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.28 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked ASTRAL | 23c | 813.94$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.34 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed ASTRAL | 40c | 612.75$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed ASTRAL | 38c | 471.05$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ASTRAL | 24c | 391.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed ASTRAL | 38c | 351.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.67 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed ASTRAL | 38c | 327.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 69c | 314.62$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 80c | 312.92$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed ASTRAL | 38c | 299$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed ASTRAL | 17c | 297.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed ASTRAL | 36c | 279.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked ASTRAL | 36c | 251.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed ASTRAL | 41c | 229.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed ASTRAL | 17c | 223.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ASTRAL | 33c | 205$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 203.97$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 72c | 202.09$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed ASTRAL | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ASTRAL | 35c | 199.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 66c | 181$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed ASTRAL | 38c | 181$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 66c | 177.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ASTRAL | 36c | 160.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…74e4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked ASTRAL | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ASTRAL | 17c | 132.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 66c | 130.18$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 69c | 109.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked ASTRAL | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 101.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed ASTRAL | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked ASTRAL | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked ASTRAL | 36c | 99.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 68c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked ASTRAL | 21c | 82.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 72c | 82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 80.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ASTRAL | 22c | 77.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 75c | 62.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed ASTRAL | 34c | 60.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 59.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ff…4c57backed ASTRAL | 27c | 55.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 51.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked ASTRAL | 49c | 47.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…fb93backed ASTRAL | 33c | 47.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ASTRAL | 27c | 45.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked ASTRAL | 37c | 43.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 75c | 40.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked ASTRAL | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb999…e16cbacked ASTRAL | 41c | 34.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 72c | 34.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 66c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 30.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked ASTRAL | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 71c | 26.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 66c | 21.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…5298backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ASTRAL - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ASTRAL - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.