CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88b9fcf217ecd22507f6d378b1cb8ffa86ca8a3372ad617ff852e8db1f5b26ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof CYBERSHOKE Esports, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked ASTRAL | 5c | 1,103$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ASTRAL | 43c | 999.7$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.98 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed ASTRAL | 11c | 722.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 57c | 551.64$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.72 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked ASTRAL | 54c | 438.79$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.39 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 45c | 367.82$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 275.82$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.43 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 58c | 184.86$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…aec1backed ASTRAL | 44c | 182.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 58c | 174.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 58c | 137.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed ASTRAL | 25c | 96.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 83 | 22.9%19 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked ASTRAL | 43c | 93.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 57c | 89.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed ASTRAL | 28c | 54.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 52.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…089bbacked ASTRAL | 44c | 47.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked ASTRAL | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ASTRAL | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 74c | 29.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 79c | 19.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group StageCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ASTRAL - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.