CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15234a5a9799c15f81e999379436682e99e2b07a382f64c3dd180a49f5020544
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Team Nemesis, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Sinners | 62c | 27,955$17,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,676.32 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e29…cd86backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 9,896$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.1 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 8,250$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 6,617$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.61 | 3,262 | 50.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L | +97.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sinners | 76c | 4,210$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.67 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Sinners | 73c | 3,649$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.51 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 3,134$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.98 | 819 | 44.4%364 W · 455 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 3,000$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 1,215$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sinners | 74c | 1,078$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.83 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sinners | 77c | 901.66$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.92 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 796.32$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.64 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Sinners | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 511.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02e…8fb2backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 424.69$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 356.76$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Sinners | 80c | 346$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 323.17$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Sinners | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 262.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis | 28c | 261.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Sinners | 71c | 213$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 340 | 48.8%166 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2922…30f1backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 191.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…cb72backed Sinners | 70c | 188.67$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Sinners | 78c | 179.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 482 | 46.5%224 W · 258 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 155$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…e3d3backed Sinners | 76c | 148$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…86efbacked Sinners | 66c | 142.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 137.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…fc1dbacked Sinners | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Sinners | 78c | 127.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Sinners | 75c | 125.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 125.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,634 | 44.7%731 W · 903 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 121.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 115.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Sinners | 66c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 101$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…29cbbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 97.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 96.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 870 | 46%400 W · 470 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sinners | 73c | 74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…9d8bbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 68.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sinners | 65c | 62.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…5110backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 61.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 58.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 56.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…970dbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…036abacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 53.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 52.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…9fcbbacked Sinners | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 43.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…b7c9backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 40.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Sinners | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 32.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…d820backed Sinners | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 29.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sinners | 68c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…9e07backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Sinners | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 36 | 86.1%31 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Sinners | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Sinners | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Sinners - Map 2 WinnerSinners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.