TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,590
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,799

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,590 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Over66c50,366$33,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,124.515650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under35c26,717$9,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,286.922,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Over67c14,608$9,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,820.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under33c14,036$4,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,631.8631136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c12,707$5,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,138.998,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under33c9,944$3,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,258.4719155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under23c7,063$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60022049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over74c4,852$3,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.81,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf18…3ca8backed Under37c3,533$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.21030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under14c3,295$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.79175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under34c3,172$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.3632139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under35c3,110$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.411,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over61c2,544$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.992,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Under3c1,816$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.19616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-69.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed Under33c1,538$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.521833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Under43c1,127$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.995757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under34c1,029$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106624.2%16 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick15cpaid+312.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb23c…61a7backed Over67c820.9$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under34c808$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.7231039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under34c775.59$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.719040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under33c745$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.522,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under17c723.75$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5416449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Under3c695$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.854542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under4c575$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235540%22 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed Over69c498.55$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.55887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Over67c434.78$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.484362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under34c392.98$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6116050.6%81 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under26c339.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.732,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over63c336.43$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.075,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Over68c321.39$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.772552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+392.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under34c294$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under34c289.5$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.431936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under34c281.2$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6155946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6776951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under34c246.47$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.81,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under35c245$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0472058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under33c242.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bda…d4a0backed Over60c240$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under31c237$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.471,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under43c210.45$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under33c205.71$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.562,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under36c205.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8412850%64 W · 64 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under42c204.52$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3460156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under34c181$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.541,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.574738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under33c170.67$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8278756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under44c158.48$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3463061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Under32c150.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.571643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked Under37c147.22$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.182075%15 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Over67c146.6$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3819543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Over67c144.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.822860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked Over67c144.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.822560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Over67c144.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.822958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x083c…65f2backed Under33c144$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Under35c139.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.243145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under34c119.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4818050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under34c114.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under33c110.48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.462236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under15c103.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3151945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5247…ece7backed Over40c99.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f9…fcc3backed Under32c92.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.423534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Under33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under42c90.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5812662.7%79 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over72c85.86$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0415768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Under34c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.81060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256665.2%43 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.634858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.639860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.633467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over67c72.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.915354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed Over67c72.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.913366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa187…aa65backed Under33c69.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over65c67.56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8148547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x809c…020cbacked Under33c63.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under33c60.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9427549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over61c59.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.318342.2%35 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce09…4fdcbacked Over67c58.82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under36c54.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7426465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over67c50.72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.743759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed Over67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+113.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1750656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x453d…2dbabacked Under34c49.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.792119%4 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-51.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under33c49.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1740451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over70c48.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4926965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over71c47.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.723360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under44c47.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5716459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6522…3a5abacked Under33c45.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under37c44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2889846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under33c42.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.894542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under29c37.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8272350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Under33c36.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129446.8%44 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.