TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,159 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Over39c38,563$15,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,039.655750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under64c19,415$12,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,001.552,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c7,442$4,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.468,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under64c6,045$3,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.192,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over42c3,531$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.4330048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over33c3,318$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.581,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over5c3,124$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.255,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17031643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over27c2,752$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.863,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over2c2,125$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.515147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under61c1,821$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.7232139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under61c1,229$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.3151749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Under61c1,148$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.542166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Under75c1,116$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under60c883.51$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.424855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over24c774.93$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1731136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Under66c663.44$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.765757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Over40c504.71$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.882937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.84944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under61c445.39$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.77847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over38c432.68$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.311,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under47c422.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.223842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under61c399.13$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2416349.7%81 W · 82 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under61c338$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8231240.1%125 W · 187 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x590d…572dbacked Under47c334.75$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.17450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e8a…61c3backed Over39c299.65$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under61c298.56$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4455946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under61c297.66$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.095154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under60c247$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9972258.6%423 W · 299 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under61c242$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.381,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under61c242$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.382,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe065…df75backed Over40c241.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.561723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-60.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7596…f13abacked Under63c238.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over9c237.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3551750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under60c220.2$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.819340.4%78 W · 115 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over13c214.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8857540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7818358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over24c185.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.58442.9%36 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under61c185.76$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4516549.1%81 W · 84 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over15c173.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.032,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under61c170$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.31936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under61c163$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.571,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under62c151.11$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1529047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under61c146$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6218050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Over40c133.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537959.5%47 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under61c107.52$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.938950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under61c106.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5612755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked Under60c103.24$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.842075%15 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3823453%124 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under72c95.31$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8160156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under72c95.29$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8195155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c94.77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.281,44237.6%542 W · 900 L+4.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under61c93.41$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4378856.3%444 W · 344 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over30c93.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9949440.9%202 W · 292 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under65c89.94$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5463261.2%387 W · 245 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39f9…fcc3backed Over24c87.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.373636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over39c77.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1915945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under63c65.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0626465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under61c64.5$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.164971.4%35 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Under64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.520934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510044%44 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under70c62.42$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.589846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under70c61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under61c60.26$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under56c58.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6821938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under67c57.92$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0312662.7%79 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.185156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under59c48.78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x453d…2dbabacked Over36c48.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42119%4 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-51.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under59c48.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.789645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under75c47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6635246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under61c46.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2914463.9%92 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under61c43.41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9350656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under63c41.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3516459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.618959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ae…2ff5backed Over40c37.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-58%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc628…c3f0backed Under76c33.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Under61c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed Under66c31.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.62479.2%19 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked Under61c29.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.343050%15 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c28.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.941,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under66c28.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5433365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under61c27.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.95848.3%28 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under61c27.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7517352%90 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under57c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6120055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe32…960bbacked Under60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Under61c23.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.962850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ceb…4716backed Under67c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.261883.3%15 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under58c20.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.662962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…79b1backed Under60c20.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3241662%258 W · 158 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under62c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.227022.9%16 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+288.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under59c17.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1916234.6%56 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.