South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe82129629adc015716c92d250011e46069d9ed49d0a6522cba971b6acd59d94f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 57c | 1,061$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.78 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked No | 59c | 825.99$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 47c | 362.08$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.13 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 232.37$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.54 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 229.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 58c | 217.66$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.25 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 41c | 203.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 406 | 51%207 W · 199 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 168.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 57c | 131.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 43c | 131$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 59c | 125.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 41c | 115.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 41c | 111.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 51c | 94.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 33c | 88.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 35c | 82.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…5131backed Yes | 42c | 76.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 32c | 73.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 42c | 68.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 673 | 37.1%250 W · 423 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 44c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 44c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 41c | 60.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 59.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 68c | 59.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 42c | 58.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 60c | 55.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 67c | 50.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 47c | 49.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 60c | 33.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 68c | 29.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 69c | 25.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 425 | 62.4%265 W · 160 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 18.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 59c | 16.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: LDU de Quito O/U 2.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: Mirassol FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: Mirassol FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: LDU de Quito (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)LDU de Quito won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-2.5)LDU de Quito won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.