KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bfb2289001533cde5d4e6ca1ad3361ccf05c7b21fc88c1964b8269bd417a703

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,536 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	28c	5,369$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,869.18	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	72c	1,861$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,339.85	346	42.2%146 W · 200 L	-15.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	66c	1,577$1,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,042.6	704	35.8%252 W · 452 L	-27.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	72c	1,470$1,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,063.89	1,487	40.3%599 W · 888 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under	72c	1,200$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864	221	47.5%105 W · 116 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe96d…ba90backed Over	28c	1,083$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.66	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under	3c	1,070$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.39	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under	1c	1,015$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.36	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Over	27c	925.93$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675.93	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.23per pick	35cpaid	+122%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x123f…8d5fbacked Over	28c	858.07$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.81	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under	53c	500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.7	62	67.7%42 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea83…e0ccbacked Under	63c	476.18$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	73c	458.38$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.62	286	51%146 W · 140 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	72c	439.47$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.62	426	47.9%204 W · 222 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	46c	389.75$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.46	214	60.7%130 W · 84 L	+21.0wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under	80c	375.13$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	75cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	68c	341.06$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.1	74	56.8%42 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	72c	289$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.25	520	46.7%243 W · 277 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over	37c	270.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.27	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+20%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over	38c	222$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.69	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.37per pick	29cpaid	+225.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under	66c	211.34$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.76	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	-6.8wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.05	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under	74c	200$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	27c	191$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.43	127	36.2%46 W · 81 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	62c	188.24$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.71	313	42.5%133 W · 180 L	-15.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	32c	158.09$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.59	362	48.6%176 W · 186 L	+17.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	64c	149.6$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.75	1,959	44.1%863 W · 1,096 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0435…a10ebacked Under	34c	149.02$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	34cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	68c	140.96$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.07	994	35%348 W · 646 L	-10.9wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under	72c	138.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	26c	131.96$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.65	294	45.9%135 W · 159 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8192…e1b9backed Over	38c	130$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	72c	119.64$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.14	142	49.3%70 W · 72 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Over	53c	113.73$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.42	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+5.5wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	72c	102.14$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.54	142	55.6%79 W · 63 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Under	63c	101.57$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.99	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	30c	100.13$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.73	881	37.7%332 W · 549 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.91	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…85c8backed Under	76c	100$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under	74c	99.86$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.9	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	65cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	76c	79.49$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.94	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over	58c	78.56$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.34	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	38c	75.82$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.01	58	31%18 W · 40 L	-6.3wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	43c	68.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.91	146	45.9%67 W · 79 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under	74c	67.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f78…3546backed Over	39c	64.78$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.78	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under	80c	62.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993c…2aecbacked Under	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	30c	58.64$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	55	30.9%17 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	76c	57.15$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.43	875	31.1%272 W · 603 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over	38c	52.63$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.63	285	40%114 W · 171 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…825cbacked Under	63c	50.94$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.09	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over	36c	49.99$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.99	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Under	28c	47.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under	59c	45.03$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.49	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under	44c	41.49$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.25	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	74c	41.48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.49	367	42.8%157 W · 210 L	-22.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	64c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under	39c	34.54$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.36	37	2.7%1 W · 36 L	-13.8wins	-0.37per pick	40cpaid	-94.6%equal weight	25-0.22 edge/pick
0xb619…49c9backed Over	58c	33.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.3	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebf…5afbbacked Under	62c	32.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.1	59	61%36 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under	58c	29.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.39	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over	43c	28.8$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.53	67	52.2%35 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	49c	27.2$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.91	100	51%51 W · 49 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under	49c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	-5.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92e3…eb51backed Under	80c	24.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.45per pick	79cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked Under	80c	24.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Under	80c	24.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.45per pick	79cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	242	45.9%111 W · 131 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf809…2ef1backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcec8…4bedbacked Under	74c	17.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Under	74c	17.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	53cpaid	-40%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14fc…d8f4backed Under	74c	17.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2e5…c638backed Under	65c	17.02$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+30%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under	72c	15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	170	45.9%78 W · 92 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5this page
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 0.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 1.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 2.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: NK Celje O/U 1.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: NK Celje O/U 2.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 0.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 1.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 4.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 5.5Over won
Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)NK Celje won
Spread: NK Celje (-1.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
Spread: NK Celje (-2.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event