TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: NK Celje (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinëof NK Celje, KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,880 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb15…8393backed NK Celje27c9,358$2,500 inLost-$2,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë73c7,379$5,415 inWon+$1,963.561,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed NK Celje5c3,846$184 inLost-$183.7372335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë77c1,873$1,443 inWon+$429.8591537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë74c996.2$737 inWon+$259.0136142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed NK Celje24c969.99$228 inLost-$228.131847.5%151 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked NK Celje24c948.14$224 inLost-$224.1233844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed NK Celje40c738.04$294 inLost-$294.156845.6%31 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed NK Celje23c602.01$138 inLost-$138.4660%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë50c420$210 inWon+$2105829.3%17 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+158%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c5e…2ea3backed NK Celje8c390$32 inLost-$31.59130%0 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked NK Celje24c359.17$85 inLost-$85.0752046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë75c256$192 inWon+$6429949.5%148 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed NK Celje21c211$45 inLost-$45.2722245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked NK Celje23c130.43$30 inLost-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed NK Celje8c125$10 inLost-$103026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed NK Celje25c112.77$28 inLost-$28.1913936.7%51 W · 88 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë77c108$83 inWon+$24.8444647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked NK Celje19c99$19 inLost-$18.8122552%117 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cd…cc1bbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë77c90$69 inWon+$20.73100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë74c72$54 inWon+$18.4165050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë73c69$50 inWon+$18.6314942.3%63 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë77c64.93$50 inWon+$14.935459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NK Celje20c58.84$12 inLost-$11.6914645.9%67 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë77c50.83$39 inWon+$11.789946.5%46 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë76c41.92$32 inWon+$10.151,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë77c32.75$25 inWon+$7.5116743.7%73 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë77c30$23 inWon+$6.94259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë76c26.32$20 inWon+$6.325855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa06…74c3backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë76c26.31$20 inWon+$6.311163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë76c25.32$19 inWon+$6.083246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë79c22.56$18 inWon+$4.745530.9%17 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë77c20$15 inWon+$4.624545.3%111 W · 134 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë74c15.31$11 inWon+$3.9835860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.