KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd532a1c1780840f1a8fbe6dae0e43c9dcd53f7ad386c9a8531b8964e99710377

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,605
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $62,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,605 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over	53c	5,942$3,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,794.2	704	35.8%252 W · 452 L	-27.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	10c	3,684$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,315.79	606	48.3%293 W · 313 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	47c	3,310$1,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550.98	1,959	44.1%863 W · 1,096 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	76c	3,283$2,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,479.22	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Over	13c	1,923$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,673.08	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.23per pick	35cpaid	+122%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	59c	1,576$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.16	1,487	40.3%599 W · 888 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4b29…e4b2backed Over	63c	1,216$766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.83	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	43c	1,189$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.1	362	48.6%176 W · 186 L	+17.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under	72c	999.97$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718.95	62	67.7%42 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over	18c	942.66$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.36	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under	41c	804.88$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+3.9wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed Under	3c	634.54$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	3cpaid	+1,011.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over	66c	630.77$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.61	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	41c	609.76$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Under	42c	598.91$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.72	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	66c	507.69$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.89	74	56.8%42 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over	14c	500$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42fc…a43cbacked Under	80c	427.67$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.08	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-4.5wins	-0.56per pick	68cpaid	-84.3%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Over	12c	400.82$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.72	122	19.7%24 W · 98 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	15c	399.33$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.17	881	37.7%332 W · 549 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under	70c	392.83$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.89	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-6.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	40c	381.65$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.66	313	42.5%133 W · 180 L	-15.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over	13c	350$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.5	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over	60c	324.86$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.05	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	13c	304.39$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.63	994	35%348 W · 646 L	-10.9wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over	11c	300$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over	10c	300$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269	179	7.8%14 W · 165 L	-8.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	10c	293.18$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.75	520	46.7%243 W · 277 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	57c	238.8$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.8	122	54.9%67 W · 55 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under	43c	224.97$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.21	107	52.3%56 W · 51 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over	14c	222$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.92	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.37per pick	29cpaid	+225.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61ad…74d3backed Over	23c	217.39$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.39	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+108.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under	37c	199.99$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	60c	174.98$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.99	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	42c	171.72$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.33	308	56.8%175 W · 133 L	+11.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Under	77c	150$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.5	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	54c	136$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.92	146	45.9%67 W · 79 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over	59c	135.98$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.75	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0435…a10ebacked Under	37c	135.54$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	34cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcda7…d089backed Over	23c	134.78$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Over	10c	118$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.2	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	15c	103.5$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.69	426	47.9%204 W · 222 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	25c	100$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+20.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d2b…d9a5backed Over	63c	98.21$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+81.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	60c	93$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.6	242	45.9%111 W · 131 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over	51c	92$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.94	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over	16c	85$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.4	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+4.0wins	+0.27per pick	40cpaid	+177.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	53c	84$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.12	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	-5.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	63c	71.08$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.3	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under	68c	69.76$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.36	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd36…6674backed Over	28c	67.86$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.86	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	53c	65.17$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.92	100	51%51 W · 49 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	55c	61$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.27	120	44.2%53 W · 67 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x44a3…121fbacked Over	65c	55.2$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.32	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under	40c	49.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.71	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Under	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.24per pick	66cpaid	+35%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	47c	43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.93	163	50.9%83 W · 80 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	60c	33.15$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.26	76	60.5%46 W · 30 L	+9.8wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	48c	25.07$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-7.9wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcec8…4bedbacked Under	62c	24.08$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14fc…d8f4backed Under	62c	24.08$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.89	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Under	62c	24.08$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	53cpaid	-40%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Under	70c	23$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Over	59c	22.87$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.48	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+5.5wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	62c	21.95$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.34	122	69.7%85 W · 37 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 4.5this page
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 0.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 1.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 2.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: NK Celje O/U 1.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: NK Celje O/U 2.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 0.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 1.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5Over won
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 5.5Over won
Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)NK Celje won
Spread: NK Celje (-1.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
Spread: NK Celje (-2.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event