TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under37c10,089$3,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,744.361,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Over49c5,580$2,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.371258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick35cpaid+122%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over49c5,532$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,831.682437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…206dbacked Over74c3,120$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over75c3,025$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.34580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c2,798$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.9199435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over68c2,333$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.0270435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04f8…c9e9backed Over49c1,962$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under42c1,748$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.3642647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under51c1,627$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.629946.5%46 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c1,450$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.4231047.4%147 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under2c1,374$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9190%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under47c1,116$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.452948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802536%9 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under51c980$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.826445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under39c845.42$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.315459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under32c729.03$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6139443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under27c723.3$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2988137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c692.46$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0187531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under25c622.47$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6231342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c609.5$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.9432944.7%147 W · 182 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c583.3$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.71,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under26c500$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.59246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under51c483.27$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4734642.2%146 W · 200 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked Under53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under52c442.31$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over75c428.39$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.13158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under46c392.27$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.981145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under51c384.99$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3552046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over47c371.1$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6860648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under51c286.31$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.023151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under42c284.62$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.236845.6%31 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under55c272.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0636248.6%176 W · 186 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over75c264.95$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.397349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over48c260.42$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.421266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under52c256$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1228651%146 W · 140 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over76c236.97$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.977456.8%42 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over73c222.78$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1517936.9%66 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Under24c213$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.122766.7%18 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4d2b…d9a5backed Over49c211.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.089549.5%47 W · 48 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Under17c203.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.55837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.21450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1044346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over57c196.29$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.216741.9%70 W · 97 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under51c195.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.554143.9%18 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under52c192$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.841776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under55c190$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over68c181.48$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6310051%51 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over49c178.27$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.925831%18 W · 40 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Over48c149.22$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.591172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under52c140$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.85244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over69c140$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.848645.3%39 W · 47 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0435…a10ebacked Under25c135.6$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-63.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over75c130.83$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.711457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a18…a0f3backed Over47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.661643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0636742.8%157 W · 210 L-22.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x586b…52d9backed Over48c119.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.29742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Under53c116.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under26c111.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.447345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8612044.2%53 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under51c99.04$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8514255.6%79 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Under51c97.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.71922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-71.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over72c96.85$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.121258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under30c93.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.085731.6%18 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under28c89.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b64…32ddbacked Over48c87.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec8…4bedbacked Under39c84.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Under39c84.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.221030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14fc…d8f4backed Under39c84.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under52c80.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.683271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over68c79.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5214645.9%67 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed9f…b19dbacked Over49c72.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Under37c51.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.211127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over61c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7516350.9%83 W · 80 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…c638backed Under28c46.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under42c46.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.465745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc87…b8bfbacked Under55c46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6721043.8%92 W · 118 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…6e97backed Under53c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over45c34.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1829445.9%135 W · 159 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ab2…66cdbacked Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611547%54 W · 61 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.517045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.38053.8%43 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over69c28.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d3…011abacked Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e2…38bdbacked Over71c25.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over75c25.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-60.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under51c21.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114027.5%11 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over68c20.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.586160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.