Champions League · resolved market
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85c8a77cb9ea5d32ec6ecc0c57f7d8aaa553e7bcb7621f4104f8655b5d0ff109
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 80c | 6,000$4,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,796.19 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 11c | 3,591$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.06 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 17c | 2,890$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.12 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed Under | 54c | 2,335$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 11c | 1,960$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.06 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Over | 60c | 1,675$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.3 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 15c | 1,547$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.08 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 43c | 1,410$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.78 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 40c | 1,051$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 50c | 1,014$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 4c | 908.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.47 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 3c | 767.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Over | 49c | 692.15$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 41c | 659.82$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…cdb2backed Under | 45c | 556.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Under | 45c | 555.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 63c | 450$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 70c | 343.35$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.72 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 51c | 264.09$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…a26ebacked Over | 6c | 234.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +166%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 55c | 210.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 45c | 210.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 49c | 202.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 174$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 47c | 172.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 59c | 169.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 46c | 132$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1800…9c8ebacked Over | 62c | 131.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 48c | 125.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 50c | 113.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Over | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 50c | 101.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…74d3backed Over | 20c | 100.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…3546backed Over | 38c | 62.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Over | 55c | 57.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed Over | 55c | 55.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed Over | 56c | 35.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 26.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8e…b1d0backed Under | 42c | 25.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…b35ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 5.5this page
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 2.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: NK Celje O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: NK Celje O/U 2.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5Over won
- KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)NK Celje won
- Spread: NK Celje (-1.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
- Spread: NK Celje (-2.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.