South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89168edb81b09d95b46581faa00aa70864905deb8fab9e7d9a23bb6e49b13207

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $53,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $54,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,976 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	6,811$3,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,318.81	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	48c	5,561$2,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,877.99	1,290	42.8%552 W · 738 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x368c…9f72backed Over	60c	3,334$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,333.59	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Under	3c	2,583$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	55c	2,469$1,357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,356.91	2,514	39%980 W · 1,534 L	-32.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	59c	2,244$1,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,326.45	2,281	34.3%782 W · 1,499 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under	5c	2,058$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Under	5c	1,930$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.02	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Under	11c	1,667$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.33	77	23.4%18 W · 59 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	55c	1,666$919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.26	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	52c	1,480$764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$716.02	1,443	45.9%662 W · 781 L	-22.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	8c	1,477$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.09	457	46.8%214 W · 243 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under	5c	1,468$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.26	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	34c	1,413$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.15	824	34.5%284 W · 540 L	-17.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under	53c	1,273$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.69	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	47c	1,242$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.32	752	40.8%307 W · 445 L	-17.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Under	35c	1,188$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Over	72c	1,011$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.1	81	39.5%32 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over	65c	806.38$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.23	89	28.1%25 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over	31c	724.64$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.6	200	36.5%73 W · 127 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	17c	705.56$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588.49	1,302	50.2%653 W · 649 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Under	4c	697$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.03	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	38c	693.05$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.91	321	39.6%127 W · 194 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	30c	560.06$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.04	129	40.3%52 W · 77 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under	7c	427.58$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.17	110	39.1%43 W · 67 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under	64c	307.27$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.65	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Under	11c	294.15$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.12	215	38.1%82 W · 133 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	68c	287.93$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.09	769	51.5%396 W · 373 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	69c	258.38$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.03	2,170	43.7%948 W · 1,222 L	-53.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	33c	223.43$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.84	992	59.1%586 W · 406 L	+108.7wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under	24c	223.07$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.79	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+118.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under	52c	218.02$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.37	128	50%64 W · 64 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	50c	201.07$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.59	951	55.8%531 W · 420 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over	73c	196.66$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.62	190	53.2%101 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	50c	196.05$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.1	601	56.2%338 W · 263 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under	19c	195.94$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.83	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under	24c	190.14$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.57	65	24.6%16 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb284…b1fbbacked Under	7c	181.15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.82	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under	49c	170.12$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.12	412	62.1%256 W · 156 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under	42c	142.98$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	212	52.4%111 W · 101 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	38c	137.31$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.45	1,253	56.2%704 W · 549 L	+73.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Under	35c	136.5$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.15	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	+6.0wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7259…000dbacked Over	42c	133.69$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over	44c	126.36$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.79	194	47.9%93 W · 101 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under	17c	124.73$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	138	56.5%78 W · 60 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under	17c	120.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.43	106	35.8%38 W · 68 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+106.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over	58c	116.23$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.82	46	80.4%37 W · 9 L	+14.0wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+114.5%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under	44c	110.77$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.27	694	53.5%371 W · 323 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	44c	109$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.94	720	58.8%423 W · 297 L	+29.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	18c	107.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.52	217	52.1%113 W · 104 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	184	26.1%48 W · 136 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	17c	83.88$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.62	150	41.3%62 W · 88 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35aa…7bd0backed Over	65c	83.86$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.23	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Over	15c	77.68$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.68	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	50c	68.7$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.11	630	61.3%386 W · 244 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over	57c	65.5$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.12	293	62.5%183 W · 110 L	+13.1wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Over	33c	60.66$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.64	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Under	19c	57.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…b2cebacked Over	35c	57.2$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.18	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	70c	52.2$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.66	269	65.4%176 W · 93 L	+48.9wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	68+0.17 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under	54c	46.83$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.27	164	49.4%81 W · 83 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over	48c	45.31$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.56	28	85.7%24 W · 4 L	+10.6wins	+0.38per pick	48cpaid	+139.3%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0xafcf…72f6backed Under	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	62c	38.39$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.77	313	55.6%174 W · 139 L	+24.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	58c	37.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.89	336	58.3%196 W · 140 L	+32.4wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under	67c	37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.86	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over	58c	34.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	199	63.8%127 W · 72 L	+19.3wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x79fb…56ebbacked Over	58c	34.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	46c	30.59$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	178	52.8%94 W · 84 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb4c…612bbacked Under	62c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a16…1cb2backed Over	79c	28.81$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.15	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over	62c	28.31$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.76	142	64.1%91 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over	41c	25.98$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.37	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Over	52c	22.15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.57	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over	70c	21.73$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.59	72	62.5%45 W · 27 L	+6.9wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Under	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Under	70c	14.33$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6735…fd44backed Over	74c	13.99$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.64	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5this page
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 0.5Over won
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 1.5Over won
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5Over won
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 4.5Under won
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-1.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won
Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-2.5)CA Talleres won
Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event