TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
CA Talleresof CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza, CA Talleres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,758
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,758 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x70a6…a2ebbacked CA Talleres72c619.09$445 inWon+$173.963557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza28c546.4$152 inLost-$151.861,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza39c205.54$80 inLost-$80.162665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed CA Talleres69c114.62$79 inWon+$35.154766%31 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza25c113.23$28 inLost-$28.311,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza30c111.38$34 inLost-$33.628,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza46c87.19$40 inLost-$40.231,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79fb…56ebbacked CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza47c81.6$38 inLost-$38.44850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked CA Talleres72c78.87$57 inWon+$21.8719543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed CA Talleres60c73.15$44 inWon+$29.5332139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked CA Talleres36c71$25 inWon+$45.73372.7%24 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+45.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza40c69.71$28 inLost-$27.933327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza21c51$11 inLost-$10.7119437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza39c41.1$16 inLost-$16.034353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked CA Talleres59c31$18 inWon+$12.621,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked CA Talleres60c22$13 inWon+$8.7389846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.