TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendozaof CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza, CA Talleres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,231
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,225

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,231 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed CA Talleres34c2,130$720 inLost-$719.98,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza60c1,444$867 inWon+$577.73557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked CA Talleres27c163.81$44 inLost-$44.0889846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza71c125.9$89 inWon+$36.512885.7%24 W · 4 L+10.6wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+139.3%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza46c120.52$55 inWon+$65.612,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza78c90.47$71 inWon+$19.93327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza68c88$60 inWon+$28.165,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza56c87.23$49 inWon+$38.081,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked CA Talleres41c60.98$25 inLost-$2515057.3%86 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed CA Talleres25c54.99$14 inLost-$13.754766%31 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed CA Talleres29c54.38$16 inLost-$15.6660156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed CA Talleres38c48.25$18 inLost-$18.4795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza60c46.37$28 inWon+$18.711,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza59c43.57$26 inWon+$17.863,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed CA Talleres39c40.31$16 inLost-$15.8169453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed CA Talleres38c35.86$14 inLost-$13.7341262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfd…a7e7backed CA Talleres73c14.64$11 inLost-$10.6930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9707…6fbdbacked CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza71c14.09$10 inWon+$4.09333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.