South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50f4f45c443a562a21159f972faa349d3f76e126c64ddc53a876d244da14888f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 32c | 2,529$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.81 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 35c | 2,223$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.5 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 67c | 2,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.99 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 66c | 1,962$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.4 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 1,565$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.85 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 76c | 1,250$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 66c | 1,220$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.39 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 938.79$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.9 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 65c | 843.32$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.25 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 35c | 729.28$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.24 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 46c | 673.69$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.82 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 49c | 633.67$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.82 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 69c | 599.89$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.92 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 384.06$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.21 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 66c | 300$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Under | 41c | 244.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 221.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d43…8bcdbacked Under | 65c | 213.43$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 35c | 175.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 38c | 137.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 49c | 127$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 14c | 117.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 35c | 99.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 35c | 95.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 65c | 87.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 68c | 81.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf9…d602backed Over | 75c | 81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…502ebacked Over | 36c | 79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 32c | 74.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 34c | 65.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 32c | 65.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 76c | 51.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 53c | 49.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 33c | 48.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 45c | 45.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 53c | 39.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 66c | 38.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 67c | 35.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 35c | 35.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 52c | 24.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 66c | 20.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…34d6backed Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -54%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb696…7a4ebacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-1.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won
- Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-2.5)CA Talleres won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.