South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca5d1a750b2621eec64fb7652914c68cf596f1fd042fba93b3c1bf35b14ea314
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 3,635$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,575$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.7 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…219fbacked Yes | 47c | 775.96$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…e61abacked Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 634.18$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.91 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 46c | 414.07$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 54c | 404.82$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.6 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 40c | 334.48$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 68c | 290$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 78c | 217.18$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 46c | 174.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 168.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 44c | 160.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 45c | 158.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 135$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 31c | 108$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed No | 55c | 89.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 55c | 86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 36c | 78.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 45c | 75.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 57c | 68.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 57c | 65.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 57c | 65.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 69c | 48.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 47c | 40.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 53c | 39.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 44c | 38.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 35.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 69c | 28.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 68c | 25.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 55c | 22.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-1.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won
- Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-2.5)CA Talleres won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.