South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Banfield: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebc96dbfa0d592c2860bbff637984f6091ac3fccea6b5184412b3f5ee01d3a0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Over | 76c | 4,966$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.65 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 10c | 2,815$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.42 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 25c | 1,770$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.24 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 29c | 1,131$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.01 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 26c | 1,130$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.58 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,047$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.64 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Under | 2c | 880$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 51c | 618.67$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.74 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 64c | 418.66$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.49 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 22c | 360.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 78c | 346.23$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 23c | 345.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 16c | 318$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 53c | 298.17$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 10c | 258.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 80c | 240.57$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 53c | 232.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 61c | 210.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.18 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 73c | 199.63$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.42 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 42c | 158.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 20c | 156.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 18c | 112.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 42c | 87.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…a9b2backed Under | 21c | 71.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Over | 21c | 63.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 39c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 43c | 46.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 42.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 56c | 40.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 66c | 35.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 79c | 31.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 72c | 28.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 72c | 28.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Under | 68c | 24.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 72c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 73c | 16.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Banfield: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Banfield: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Banfield: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Banfield: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.