South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a743cfa990dae2928fcf8758bbd6023c8b94b831c036e97bb305704cefe9d19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked Under | 0c | 8,400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 5,677$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.49 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 45c | 3,008$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.84 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 55c | 1,952$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.54 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 1,818$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 1,266$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.2 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 1,233$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.77 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 1c | 1,135$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 1,062$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.74 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 48c | 1,031$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +10.8wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 43c | 591$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.13 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 51c | 516$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.16 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 43c | 489.58$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.11 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 56c | 454.52$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.53 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 50c | 453.02$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.51 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 6c | 340$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 51c | 329$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 52c | 307.37$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 282.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Over | 54c | 277.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.77 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 78c | 260$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 51c | 188.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 49c | 181.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 51c | 161.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 50c | 156$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 145.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 125.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 113.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 110.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 108.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…6d91backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 52c | 96.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 51c | 93.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 14c | 93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 58c | 86.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 48c | 83.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 51c | 79.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 50c | 75.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Under | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 60c | 64.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 51c | 63.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Under | 52c | 57.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 58c | 46.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 55c | 45.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 59c | 38.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 59c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 66c | 27.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…802dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5this page
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: Mirassol FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.