South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f23cf2fc75907115446c1caf3e6c1f9c03662e79c4844b3b2249a136e21ea9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 54c | 3,456$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.11 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 2,500$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.57 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,955$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.12 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 60c | 1,881$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.72 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 1,348$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.54 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 836.31$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.91 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes | 54c | 552.94$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.35 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…f749backed No | 71c | 304.41$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 46c | 300$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 233.58$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.78 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 74c | 232.21$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 206.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c2…b137backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 54c | 158.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 25c | 149.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 53c | 135$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 46c | 120.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 46c | 114$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 53c | 111.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 47c | 106.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 52c | 98.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 54c | 96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Yes | 53c | 92.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 64c | 92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 48c | 91.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 51c | 89.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 54c | 73.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 56c | 65.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 26c | 60.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…9b7cbacked Yes | 53c | 55.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 47c | 53.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 71c | 52.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…317ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 47c | 39.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 38.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 63c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 20 | 95%19 W · 1 L | +7.3wins | +0.36per pick | 59cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 65c | 29.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 68c | 24.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 48c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 68c | 16.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: Mirassol FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.