South American Leagues · resolved market
Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87df07fee8c913db935e3e4bd36781a5c898d6c615b0981a583719a816a2e5a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,896$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.75 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 2c | 2,002$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 5c | 1,903$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 55c | 1,534$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 49c | 1,509$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.58 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…4a8cbacked Over | 45c | 1,427$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 9c | 1,223$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…1298backed Under | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 488.77$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.33 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 417.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.88 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Over | 50c | 374$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 371.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.17 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 10c | 347.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 307.9$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.03 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…8343backed Over | 49c | 278.2$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 37c | 267.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 241.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 78c | 190.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 79c | 154.46$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 153.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…cb68backed Over | 65c | 131.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 125.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 16c | 109.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 34c | 107.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 77c | 101.89$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 49c | 88.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…c7b6backed Under | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 55c | 75.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…be99backed Under | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 59.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 28c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 49c | 45.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…5e45backed Over | 61c | 44.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 48c | 43.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 51c | 40.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 48c | 39.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 48c | 39.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 47c | 36.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 54c | 34.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd346…4c48backed Over | 49c | 33.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 52c | 31.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 29.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 45c | 29.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 29.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked Under | 52c | 26.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 48c | 26.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…2704backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…ff5dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 77c | 15.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5this page
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: Botafogo FR O/U 1.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: CA Paranaense O/U 1.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: CA Paranaense O/U 2.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)Botafogo FR won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)Botafogo FR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.