South American Leagues · resolved market
Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9262296d3eee75517608c4c295a72222ec877cdce86d1f7eed64a77d48acb0aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 46c | 3,717$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.04 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 53c | 1,452$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.07 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 678.52$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 224.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 59c | 206.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 61c | 149.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 53c | 129.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 55c | 126$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 60c | 112.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 50c | 112.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 57c | 105.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 54c | 104.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Yes | 55c | 89.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 55c | 86.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 54c | 77.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…1a38backed No | 51c | 76.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 45c | 72.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 45c | 71.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…658dbacked No | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…6961backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110c…a086backed Yes | 48c | 61.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 58.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Yes | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 54c | 34.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 34.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 55c | 31.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 54c | 27.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…b7d1backed Yes | 55c | 26.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Yes | 78c | 19.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…17dfbacked Yes | 77c | 19.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 54c | 19.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 55c | 18.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: Botafogo FR O/U 1.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: CA Paranaense O/U 1.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: CA Paranaense O/U 2.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)Botafogo FR won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)Botafogo FR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.