Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x771648f1392339f4b6060bf7589bd83ba766ac1b3e35d87dcfe43c4d39b16a37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 66c | 3,788$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.88 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 34c | 2,649$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.54 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 14c | 2,400$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.95 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 1,504$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.8 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 37c | 1,464$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.07 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 38c | 842.11$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 64c | 718.37$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.93 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 61c | 628$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.95 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 607.23$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.67 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Under | 36c | 553.74$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.34 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 79c | 499.68$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…61c3backed Over | 64c | 437.26$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 36c | 223.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 35c | 193.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…8011backed Over | 64c | 150.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 116.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Over | 66c | 111.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Under | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed Under | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 41c | 99.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 33c | 86.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 36c | 73.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 69c | 66.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 39c | 62.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 63c | 55.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 36c | 44.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 36c | 42.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…17e6backed Over | 59c | 40.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 38c | 39.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 35c | 31.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 58c | 30.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 65c | 27.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 39c | 25.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Over | 65c | 20.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 69c | 20.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…842ebacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 63c | 18.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 64c | 18.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 68c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…6648backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: AC Monza O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: FC Internazionale Milano 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AC Monza (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.