TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,735 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Under58c4,616$2,657 inLost-$2,656.5368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over44c3,604$1,600 inWon+$2,004.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under56c2,000$1,120 inLost-$1,1206165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x78e3…2bcabacked Over43c1,795$778 inWon+$1,016.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over42c1,435$603 inWon+$832.31838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over66c1,267$836 inWon+$430.641,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under55c955$525 inLost-$525.259652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under56c600$336 inLost-$3365862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over43c581.4$250 inWon+$331.41225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over42c516.67$217 inWon+$299.679154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over43c233$100 inWon+$132.811361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under55c200$110 inLost-$1108360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c200$100 inWon+$1003348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under56c200$112 inLost-$1126666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over65c142.97$93 inWon+$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under55c138.65$76 inLost-$76.266861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Over69c100$69 inWon+$311464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under55c100$55 inLost-$554866.7%32 W · 16 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Over42c77.04$32 inWon+$44.685100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+147.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over43c71.75$31 inWon+$40.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under31c64$20 inLost-$19.8430828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4af8…0f85backed Over64c57.5$37 inWon+$20.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under55c20$11 inLost-$116167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.